Monday 3:07 AM

I'm going to keep the 8pts with the flush. I'd rather give opponent 7-K than 6-7.

   

Monday 3:17 AM

Had to look hard to see the clubs. Thats my keep too. A (6)-6-7-?-? in the crib may jump them to a bigger lead. I know I needed 70 but also need a chance for 85 also. I will be offensive and lead the Q. dec

   

Monday 3:47 AM

This would have been tougher had I not had a flush. I'm in no-man's land, and my gut reaction was to toss 6-7 and keep the face cards and the points.

   

Monday 3:51 AM

This may come back to bite me...I threw the Q - K....keeping a run of middle cards

   

Monday 3:58 AM

Keep the flush and 8 points and a nice safe throw! A win-win situation!

   

Monday 7:05 AM

I went with the flush too, kinda sucks to break up the run though.

   

Monday 7:44 AM

While I thought about keeping the run, I also chose the points. Even with the cut, I've still got 10 points either way.

   

Monday 8:40 AM

If a flush of equal points, poential hand value is greater as all remaining cards of suit add value. So eight points with a flush will generally have greater potential value than 8 points without a flush in hand. By the way the second best keep when looking at these cards if to hold 5-6-K-K and only 2% have made that choice. As indicated by others 7-K has less potential crib score than 6-7. Agree with those who describe non-dealer position as weak. Go for all you can get on hand score and pegs. Will lead the King.

   

Monday 2:28 PM

Playing an Offense strategy the expected averages and Win %'s are:

OFFENSE----Hand--Pegs---Crib---Total--W5 %---W6 %
5-6-Q-KC___10.57+1.85+(-3.93)=8.49__24.4____19.8
5-6-K-K_____8.07+1.72+(-4.13)=5.66__17.0____14.0
5-6-7-KC____7.80+1.70+(-4.28)=5.22___17.4____13.2
5-7-K-K_____7.80+1.39+(-4.04)=5.15___15.9____13.3
5-Q-K-K_____9.91+1.28+(-6.10)=5.09___21.8____13.9

No doubt about the best hand but in this board position the second best hand for Win %'s is the 5th (or 6th if you count 5-6-7-KD) on dynamic expected averages.

After the 6 cut I'll play Offense and lead the Q.

Lead------Net Peg Pts-------Win5 %____Win6 %
Q________2.35___________12.0_______10.1
K________2.26___________11.8_______10.0
5________1.47___________10.2________7.8
6________1.26____________9.8________8.3

   

Monday 5:22 PM

decided to keep the flush although thought a long time about keeping run and a K. Oh well we will see what happens