Monday 3:10 AM

A great cut if you chose to toss 2-K to dealer!
Today I am comparing 6-K and 2-K: Combined value (avg. exp. hand minus crib) is 3.82 points vs. 2.85 points, respectively.
Crib values are: 4.08 points and usually worth only 2 points to opponents crib and 4.45 points, respectively.
Hand 2-3-3-9 starts with 4 points and increases in value to almost double (7.90 points exp. avg. hand). So we have a very good pegging hand plus a great balking toss to opponent's crib.
Did I mention that holding 3-3-6-9 is heavily weighted at 6 points with 38 cuts (83%).
Of course when you realize the starter card is a 6 will all this information really matter?

   

Monday 3:30 AM

I have used this type of hold I recall particulary on a fourth street positional situation. Early in the game if was ahead and needed a skunk I might be inclined to toss the 6-9. Three lead for me. dec

   

Monday 5:16 AM

To me this is the best combination of offense and defense. Lead the 3 and cautiously take pegs here, as we've only improved to 6.

   

Monday 5:23 AM

Only a 5 or 8 do not help this hold. 6X as good as it gets defensively.

   

Monday 6:32 AM

Do I get greedy and try to make position now by tossing 6 9 and let dealer have a better chance of making his position ? I'll bide my time and exercise patience. I'll watch dealer's first card Outstanding puzzle

   

Monday 6:40 AM

I will be honest. The only reason I chose K-2 was because that gave me the most points. If I was the dealer I would toss 9-6.

The 2-3-3 cluster was tempting, but if I didn't hit the cut I could have been too far back from my objective to do any good.

True. I hit the "Bingo cut", but with it being a 6 that is, in all probability a good cut for my opponent. I think I'll go fishing and lead the 6.
Any questions about his hand should be answered rather quickly.

   

Monday 6:46 AM

I'm looking to get to 69-72. Dealer is a few pegs short.

   

Monday 9:33 AM

This hand shows the falsity of my refusal to memorize tables and just use some rules-of-thumb. I frankly never even saw or considered toss 6-K, only 2-K and 6-9. Giving up more than a point explains some of my less-than-desired win rate. (dammit)

   

Monday 11:19 AM

Learning my lesson from yesterday's puzzle; let's keep the three-card Magic Eleven thing going. The high percentage chance of a (15-2), and (31-2) makes starting with only 2 points, and keeping the double run open at both ends possibility the best choice. As opposed to starting with 4 or 6 points. With the (K-9) slightly better than (K-6). I hope. Leading the 3D of course.

   

Monday 12:54 PM

I'm in the K-6 group today.

Knowing where two sixes are, I'll lead my 9.

   

Monday 3:53 PM

Have submitted this puzzle or similar many times over the years. Seems real difficult to hit 25% on the open-ended double run prospect and the low scoring 6-K discard to opponent crib. If you hold 2-3-3-9, only 5 and 8 add no value as pointed out by jazzselke above. If you hold 3-3-6-9, Ace, 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, J, Q, and King add nothing. That's a tremendous loss of hand score potential. Besides that pegging with 3-3-6-9 is very limited. Am playing offense - so both are major considerations. Since the starter card only gives me six points, will lead the 9. If had hit the hand for 12 points, would have led the 3d. Will take pegs as offered. The 9 lead encourages a Q-K response from dealer. If the count is advanced to 19, will drop the 3d to make the count 22 and see how that unfolds. That 6-K 4.078 (1,953) 3/91 scores two or less 41.423% scores, 8-11 13.056%, and tallies 12 or more 2.509%. That's a dozen or more 2 1/2 times in each 100 tosses. It doesn't get much better than that. There are only five other discard combinations of the 91 which score 2 or less in excess of 40%. Wonder what they look like?