March 12, 2018

*** This hand was suggested by Andy (muesli64)
120-120*  ?
47%
15%
8%
6%
5%
4%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
Total votes: 159

Continue playing here against a computer opponent or
Play this scenario out against a robot designed by Hal Mueller for eCribbage.com

Rosemarie44
982 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Monday 3:39 AM
There is safety in numbers: I know where the kings and aces are and now where one five is. Toss the 6 and 7. Lead a king but if opponent has a five, games over.
Reply
dec
4224 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Monday 3:53 AM
Ace lead only two responses on that one, next hope for a six , seven or eight ten of those. Last hope to use other ace for a go. dec
Reply
TheBostonStrangler
651 votes

Joined: July 2016

   
Monday 4:23 AM
There's a glitch in the Matrix . . . 5d x2,9h, 10c, Jd
Reply
glmccuskey
2796 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Monday 4:46 AM
Lead the ace.
Reply
Gougie00
3663 votes

Joined: March 2008

   
Monday 5:38 AM
I'll hold the aces, and lead one of them. Its a crapshoot after the lead. If the dealer responds with a face, I'll play the 7 otherwise I'll play the King. The dealer should win the majority of the time, and I've got to hold something he does expect.

We're in for another 18 inches of snow! Oh no!
Reply
james500
1922 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Monday 5:41 AM
Thought about keeping one of each, to cover as many different responses to my Ace lead as possible. Dealer won't respond with a 4 though, akingnd has little chance of holding a King to respond with since I have two of them, so perhaps I would be better off with another Ace rather than a King?
Reply
Coeurdelion
3630 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Monday 5:49 AM
I'll keep both Aces, one for leading and one for eking out a go. I'll keep two more disctinct cards and choose the highest a K and then the next highest a 7. So its A-A-7-K for me. I'll lead the AD.
Reply
bbaer1
2502 votes

Joined: February 2011

   
Monday 6:52 AM
I'll hold on to both Aces, leading one of them. The other two cards are to push the count up and hopefully sneak my second Ace in for a go.
Reply
horus93
227 votes

Joined: December 2017

   
Monday 7:01 AM
My gut led me here. Lead the ace obv
Reply
Inushtuk1
689 votes

Joined: July 2016

   
Monday 7:38 AM
I want “one of the each”, to be able to pair as many different responses should I survive the opening lead. The Dealer will have a natural bias toward holding a K. I’ll try that as a lead.
Reply
JQT
2439 votes

Joined: October 2008

   
Monday 7:58 AM
With the 10% crowd today; Ace Lead.
Reply
Hillchem
1082 votes

Joined: April 2015

   
Monday 8:19 AM
Like some of you, I think the K might be a useful card, depending on what dealer plays on my A lead. I decided to keep the 6 however. With my A lead, a 7 would score on only 3 replies. A 6 would win on 7 cards: an 8 or the other 6s.
Reply
dgergens
170 votes

Joined: January 2018

   
Monday 8:19 AM
One of each to maximize pair responses. Lead with A since 2 of them already out.
Reply
Ras2829
3154 votes

Joined: November 2008

   
Monday 2:17 PM
Seems to me that conventional end-game wisdom for lead from a small pair has no application at hole 120. If leading from the Ace, dealer pairs the game is over. I win quite a few games down here by leading a face card, and the King is the safest of those as least likely card that dealer will hold in end-game scenarios. The five on the deck encourages me even more to lead the King. The lead of the King also elicits a mid-card response since a small card response would give me a chance to score the 15-2. getting past the lead and no pegs by dealer on the opener gives me a slight edge. With both players at hole 120, there is no need for me to keep two points as dealer is guaranteed one if I don't peg out first. So it's off. off., off., for me and will grab any two, or take one for a go.
Reply
HalscribCLX
3388 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Monday 4:34 PM
At 120-120* playing an Optimal strategy the chances of our pegging out are:

Optimal_____Our Peg Out %
A-7-K-K________45.6
A-6-K-K________41.6
A-6-7-K________38.0
A-A-K-K________37.2
A-A-6-K________35.2
A-A-7-K________30.8
A-A-6-7________30.4
6-7-K-K________14.0

A-7-K-K has the best chance of our pegging out first so I'll select A-6 to discard.

After the 5 cut I'll lead a K and play Offense:

Lead_________Our Pegging Pts
K_________________0.19
7_________________0.07
A_________________0.01
Reply
cribbagepogo
2685 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Monday 8:04 PM
Better to die pegging than to hold for another hand. You are not going to make it.
Reply