April 19, 2018

*** This hand was suggested by Ras2829
55*-63  ?
61%
14%
14%
5%
2%
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 154
glmccuskey
4101 votes

Joined: April 2011
 
 
 
Thursday 7:42 AM
I like the 2 card eleven and the 9-10 to possibly trap a jack on the second pegging sequence. We’re only throwing away 3 points to get the fives in the crib.
Gougie00
5730 votes

Joined: March 2008
 
 
 
Thursday 7:44 AM
The website was offline earlier. Not often that I am the first.

Thought about tossing myself 55. Decided on 89 instead. Lets peg if possible.

More April Showers here in Massachusetts.
Guest says: Are they bringing May flowers ?
wasa
3018 votes

Joined: November 2014
 
 
 
Thursday 8:04 AM
No thinking for me. Always 5-5 to my crib if I can (without destroying my hand).
Inushtuk1
1487 votes

Joined: July 2016
 
 
 
Thursday 8:05 AM
We can’t say “Yes” to both of the Big Hand Rule questions here. Unless this is another exception. Using Ras’s crib averages, 3-5-510(8-9) is better for expected averages by 0.26 points. But the (8-9) suffers from a small amount of negative delta with us retaining a 10. Plus holding the run; and four different ranks gives me a bit more offensive pegging potential.

With only 10 known points after the cut I’ll continue with “the pedal to the metal”

Did I get on before dec and Rosemarie? What do I win?
JQT says: What do you win? Admiration is all.
james500
3923 votes

Joined: June 2013
 
 
 
Thursday 8:30 AM
What to do with this pair of fives? Do I even need to keep them together as a pair?
I'll try splitting them, and it seems I'm in good company with Mike doing the same.
dec
6358 votes

Joined: April 2008
 
 
 
Thursday 8:33 AM
I just loves me some nickeback action. Johnny tell Inushtuk what he wins! dec
Inushtuk1 says: A new car!!
JQT says: Your name ain't Johnny! You're now the proud, new owner of ... an exquisite 1971 Buick. And lucky for you, it's loaded! (with rust).
Inushtuk1 says: I don’t care. I’m jumping up and down and hugging Bob anyway.
JQT says: I'm trying to picture "The Price Is Right" soundtrack blasting while you are dancing around in circles, as clumps of rust begin falling from your "new" '71 Skylark (which incidentally is dripping so much oil, you have to wonder whether America might soon invade it....).
Inushtuk1 says: Hmmm. How can I get my “new” 71 Skylark into my bomb shelter?
horus93
1281 votes

Joined: December 2017
 
 
 
Thursday 9:25 AM
Chucked the nickles in the crib, it's all been said. I'd play defense here, if pone doesn't move too far down the board we'll be in good shape for third street.
Ras2829
5154 votes

Joined: November 2008
 
 
 
Thursday 9:43 AM
With opponent needing the deal at hole 69-73,3rd Street CPZ and me in the middle of nowhere, see no reason to defend. It's all out off., off., off for me. Inushtuk1 says it all. Will take any pegs offered and will work to close the count at 31-2 with that magic 11 (3-8). Would play the 8 on any X-point lead J-K, drop the trey on a 10-spot rather than pair leaving 9-10 intact as just might pick up a Jack later for run of three. Possible to peg 5-1 in my favor with a number of hands and if n/d holding all X-pointers (10-J-Q-K)and not leading the Jack, dealer can out peg 5-0. Certainly I love the 5-5 to crib. JQT often mentions splitting fives when dealing as any 10-point card adds value to hand and crib scores. This puzzle was submitted with that in mind. Surprising as it may seem discarding 8-9 might be second best choice with 5-5 in the third spot. Wil defer to HalscribCLX on the ranking of these three choices.
JQT says: It seems like you 'split' them 5 Cards in your vote perhaps accidentally, but it's obvious through reading your text that you meant to opt for Toss (5 5) like the majority today.
Ras2829 says: Hi JQT - Sorry for the confusion. After reading the above, am really confused. Bright day here and I am in the fog!
JQT
4143 votes

Joined: October 2008
 
 
 
Thursday 10:17 AM
I'd like to stow at least one 5 Card in my own Crib, but because of our relative position here, I'll throw them BOTH!

Doing so may help us to 'claw' our way back into this game.
JQT says: Toss (8 9) might be an idea in some crucial pegging scenarios, but I believe that this is not one of them.
Inushtuk1 says: Hi *Johnny*. So could you give us an example of when you think Toss (8-9) *might* be an idea? End-game pegging scenario perhaps?
JQT says: Oh gosh, as the Dealer, maybe from (108*-109) or some such position where Pone needed to peg perhaps a handful, the two 5 Cards might be slightly safer pegging; but I might still throw one of them, not absolutely sure on this.
Hillchem says: Thanks for the words of wisdom late yesterday; I really appreciate your reply regarding the drastic difference between 119-116 and 119-118, as well as the weakness of the pair of 7s.
JQT says: I am very honored that a Cribbage Player with what I ca perceive to be your natural ability would consider any of my advice as being categorized as that of containing wisdom. I have dedicated much of my life to "This Game Of Ours," and I do hope that at least some of my bits of knowledge and experience can be of some benefit to others, and I greatly appreciate your comments.
Andy (muesli64)
2223 votes

Joined: August 2009
 
 
 
Thursday 1:12 PM
With the majority. Why not!
Rosemarie44
2052 votes

Joined: March 2016
 
 
 
Thursday 2:21 PM
I could not get on this morning and tried until 8:00 my time. Left for the day and here is my vote.
Coeurdelion
5595 votes

Joined: October 2007
 
 
 
Thursday 3:01 PM
I think its between 3-5 and 5-5 but 3-5-5-10 (8-9) may be worth looking at as well:

5-8-9-10: 5pts + 6pts (Schell: 5.97) = 11pts

3-8-9-10: 3pts + 8¾pts (Schell: 8.79) = 11¾pts

3-5-5-10: 6pts + 4¾pts (Schell: 4.72) = 10¾pts

Potential:

5-8-9-10: Improves with AAAA, 2222, 55, 6666, 7777, 888, 999 + 15xXs = 39 cuts = 39/46 = 84.8% up to 8/9/10/12pts with 7777, 888, 999, 101010, JJJJ = 17 cuts.

3-8-9-10: Improves with 2222, 333, 4444, 55, 6666, 7777, 888, 999, 101010, JJJJ = 34 cuts = 34/46 = 73.9% up to 6/7/8pts with 333, 7777, 888, 999, 101010, JJJ = 19 cuts.

3-5-5-10: Improves with 2222, 333, 4444, 55, 7777 + 15xXs = 32 cuts = 31/46 = 69.6% up to 10/12/14pts with 2222, 4444, 55, 7777 + 15 xXs = 29 cuts.

Pegging:

I think 3-5-5-10 will peg best with three small cards and a high card.

Position:

We're behind and Pone is only 7pts from 3rd street positional hole so we need to catch up. I'll play Offense.

Summary:

3-8-9-10 has the best starting value by ¾pt and has good potential and 19 cuts for a good increase from 3pts to 6-8pts. It also should peg quite well with a magic eleven. 5-8-9-10 has even more cuts for improvement and increases from 5pt to 8-12pts with 17 cuts whilst it only starts with the ¾pt less. 3-5-5-10 has the lowest starting value and fewest number of cuts for improvement. I'll split the 5s and throw 3-5.
HalscribCLX
5318 votes

Joined: February 2008
 
 
 
Thursday 3:25 PM
At 55*-63 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_______________Our
Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib_Total____W4 %___W5 %
5-8-9-10__7.67+3.39+5.98=17.04____5.5____16.7
3-5-5-10__9.13+3.24+4.51=16.88____6.2____17.1
3-8-9-10__5.20+2.85+8.64=16.69____5.9____17.0

Offense_______L4 %___L5 %
5-8-9-10______23.9___59.0
3-5-5-10______23.3___57.9
3-8-9-10______23.3___58.3

5-8-9-10 is best for expected averages by 0.16pt but 3-5-5-10 is best for Win %s and Loss %s. However as its still only halfway through the game I'll put most weight on the expected averages. Therefore I'll select 3-5 to discard.

After the Q cut I'll play Offense to the lead.