June 9, 2018

*** This hand was suggested by peggylunta on ecribbage.com
0-0*  ?
57%
19%
14%
3%
3%
0%
Total votes: 129

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james500
1859 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Saturday 3:10 AM
Three Diamonds and a Heart for me, a Club and a Heart for my opponent.
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dec
4150 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Saturday 3:14 AM
Wishing for a dozen and an effective discard here. dec
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JQT
2377 votes

Joined: October 2008

   
Saturday 3:47 AM
It may seem incongruent, but since this is Cribbage and not Poker, Keep (2 4 9 9) is better than either Two PAIRS ... or even a PEARS Royale. Lead the 4 Card.
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Rosemarie44
923 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Saturday 3:48 AM
First hand for pone, offense. Best for expected averages tossing 2-9 to dealer.
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Gougie00
3599 votes

Joined: March 2008

   
Saturday 4:49 AM
Hedging. No reason to give the opponent 2 points for nothing.
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horus93
178 votes

Joined: December 2017

   
Saturday 5:36 AM
I'm more likely to take risks earlier in the game. Depends on mood really
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Inushtuk1
625 votes

Joined: July 2016

   
Saturday 7:47 AM
Dealer’s favourite discard is (7-8). So no Peggy; I’m not tossing the 9’s for two chances out of 46 for a 14 point hand; or the double run gut shot for 12 points. I can get my 12 pointer this way too. If we keep the double run shot, and hit our hand with a 3 cut, and Dealer tossed a pair of 3’s, that’s a 20 point crib. If we cut the 2 for 14 in our hand, and Dealer tosses a pair of 4’s, that’s a 12 point crib for him/her. Hardly seems worth the risk, with us having multiple chances for 12 points ourselves, and a fairly safe discard to boot.

Lead from our strength. The 9 of diamonds.
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glmccuskey
2735 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Saturday 9:03 AM
I want to keep the 2-2-4 together and maybe I can run those twos at the end of the count. Lead the four.
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Coeurdelion
3556 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Saturday 12:49 PM
Three ways to hold 6pts 2-2-4-9 (9-9), 2-4-9-9 (2-9) and 2-9-9-9 (2-4):

2-2-4-9: 6pts - 6¼pts (Schell: 6.39) = -¼pt

2-4-9-9: 6pts - 4¾pts (Schell: 4.70) = +1¾pts

2-9-9-9: 6pts - 5¼pts (Schell: 5.33) = +¾pt

Potential:

2-2-4-9: Improves with 22, 3333, 444, 6666, 7777, 9 = 18 cuts = 18/46 = 39.1% up to 12/14pts with 22, 3333, 444, 9 = 10 cuts.

2-4-9-9: Improves with 22, 3333, 444, 6666, 9 = 14 cuts = 30.4% up to 9/10/12pts with all cuts.

2-9-9-9: Improves with 22, 444, 6666, 9 = 10 cuts = 10/46 = 21.7% up to 12pts with 444, 9 = 4 cuts.

Pegging:

I think 2-2-4-9 will peg best playing Offense.

Position:

In opening position we'll be playing Offense to catch up our positional deficit. .

Summary:

2-4-9-9 has at least a 1pt surplus in starting value and although 2-4-9-9 has fewer cuts for improvement it has 4 cuts more for a good hand. So I'll throw an unsuited 2-9 and I'll keep the three card flush.
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HalscribCLX
3321 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Saturday 1:55 PM
At 0-0* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_______________Dlr's
Offense___Hand_Pegs__Crib___Total___W9 %____W10 %
2-4-9-9*__7.39+1.07+(-4.27)=4.19____22.9____23.2
2-9-9-9*__7.13+0.85+(-4.75)=3.23____21.6____21.5
2-2-4-9___7.74+1.22+(-6.00)=2.96____25.0____21.3

Offense______L9 %____L10 %
2-4-9-9*_____35.9____50.4
2-9-9-9*_____36.8____51.9
2-2-4-9______41.4____53.7

* unsuited discard.

2-4-9-9 is best for expected averages by 0.96pt and is about the same as 2-2-4-9 for Win %s but much lower for Loss %s so I'll select 2H-9C to discard.

After the Q cut I'll lead 9D and play Offense:

Lead___________Our Pegging Pts.
9___________________1.21
2___________________0.71
4___________________0.59
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Ras2829
3099 votes

Joined: November 2008

   
Saturday 2:02 PM
Based on my scant empirical data, there is only .4 of a point difference in holding 2-4-9-9 and 2-2-4-9, Why give up two points to gain that bit. So it's an unsuited 2-9 for me. Playing offense all the way. In such cases if holding an 8, ,9, or X-pointer with three small cards, lead the large card.
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dgergens
143 votes

Joined: January 2018

   
Saturday 6:02 PM
And now for the laytard line of reasoning. It's 6 points either way tossing 2,9 or 2,4. More opportunities with the cut if I keep 2,4,9,9. And 2,9 to the pone's crib is pretty innocuous.
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