Guest says: In the rather unlikely "case" in which Pone does indeed: (1) have the "case" 5 Card, and thus Pone holds TWO 5 Cards, and; (2) also has at least ONE Ten Card (or two other cards that either add up to Ten, or that form a Triple RUN with those 5 Cards, then YES, we would simply be looking to reduce the number of Spread Points by which we lose, since in all "cases" Pone would already have Fourteen or Fifteen Points, respectively. However ... Now let's examine the much more likely "case" in which Pone has an arrangement such as (5 9 T J), or is holding (5 8 J J), where lucky for us, the Jack Suit(s) does NOT match that of the Cut Card, therefore with perhaps Thirteen or Twelve Points, respectively. Now, Pone will desperately need to peg One or Two Points! Leading a 5 Card could be an appropriate tactic here! And if we "hit it" for (15-2) with our own Jack, Pone now can PAIR us and therefore has enough to win with First Hand Show, and win in a game in which as the Dealer we might very well still have been able to win. Other examples abound in which we could only prevail by responding to a 5 Card Lead with our own 5 Card! Only a rare hand occurrence might "bite" us, say if Pone held (5 5 7 8), and now of course we would regret not grabbing the (15-2) upon a 5 Card Lead. But if Pone does hold TWO 5 Cards here, I think the bias is extremely high that it comes with either at least one Ten Card or it forms a Double RUN (which of course becomes a Triple RUN after the 5 Card Cut). I hope my logic here is correct: I've been "tapping out" my choices and postings for several months now on an old cell phone, as it's taken me nearly a year to slowly migrate from my old, failed-and-broken Windows XP machine, and without the ability to see my ideas clearly (or to edit them) before posting them, I could be missing something ... so by all means, please examine my logic (or lack thereof, which if so I shall readily blame on my advancing age, or failing health, or medication, or maybe the weather : - ).