November 6, 2018
*** This hand was suggested by Ras2829
|Total votes: 149|
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Joined: January 2018
Tuesday 3:20 AM
This is a first.
Joined: October 2008
Tuesday 3:37 AM
Bury the Boat Anchors!
Joined: April 2008
Tuesday 4:18 AM
I see this one from time to time.I do this way when its early and close. Problem is one of three cuts show up 5, face or sometimes the two. Not done yet but I do like the cut. By the book three lead for me. dec
Joined: March 2016
Tuesday 4:26 AM
The ten and Queen is going, going. gone.
Joined: June 2013
Tuesday 5:11 AM
Tempted by Q-7 or Q-8.
2-3-8-10 improves after every cut bar a 6.
2-3-7-10 improves after every cut bar a 9.
The gapped 8-10 might be nice to keep, but I reckon 8-Q is sufficiently worse to my opponent than Q-7, for me to decline it.
Joined: March 2008
Tuesday 5:28 AM
Usually when I toss the Opponent 10-Q, I cut a Jack. This is a hedge. I want the 2-3 and the 7-8 for pegging, and because without 8 points in my hand, I cannot justify giving the dealer the 7 or the 8. (I surmise I am not the only one that refuses to give up middle cards) Lead the 3 and peg.
Joined: August 2018
Tuesday 5:30 AM
Talk about a consensus.
Joined: March 2009
Tuesday 6:40 AM
First dealer, play position on first street? Not usually going to hold 4, give up 2 unless behind later in the game.
Joined: November 2014
Tuesday 6:56 AM
I am in the minority today. Others say "no brainer" but I pondered T-Q and 7-Q. Wanted to keep the 2-3 together, and figured the 8-T work with a 9 cut but keeping the 7 requires me to keep the 8. If I don't have a great hand, then balk the opponent's crib. Curious was RAS will have to say.
Joined: April 2011
Tuesday 7:09 AM
Lead the three and take points as offered.
Joined: December 2017
Tuesday 9:21 AM
Knew I'd be in the minority today!
The relative position of this score is +2/-10 calling for offense for the same reason that 113-111* would call for offense. But on first street we have a lot of game ahead and a huge crib could definitely yield a loss, which is why you should generally play more "optimally" early on rather than commit to total offense or total defense.
Still all of the other keeps result in pretty bad hands. 2-3-7-8 has a max of 7 and scores under 6 about half of the time. 2-3-7-T and 2-3-8-T are even worse.
On most days I would probably hedge my bets and toss T-Q but I'm feeling bullish this election morning. Just a few days ago I tossed 7-9 from 2-3-7-9-J-Q in a nearly identical position and gave up a 24 point crib. Went on to win the game by two points - two points I wouldn't have had had I been chicken on first street!
I'd play offense after the cut and lead the three.
Joined: October 2007
Tuesday 2:19 PM
Three hands seem likely - 2-3-7-8 (10-Q), 2-3-8-10 (7-Q) and 2-3-7-10 (8-Q):
2-3-7-8: 2pts - 4½pts (Schell: 4.61) = -2½pts
2-3-8-10: 2pts - 4¼pts (Schell: 4.32) = -2¼pts
2-3-7-10: 2pts - 4¼pts (Schell: 4.31) = -2¼pts
2-3-7-8: Improves with AAAA, 222, 333, 4444, 5555, 6666, 777, 888, 9999 + 14xXs = 46 cuts = 46/46 = 100.0% up to 5/6/7 with AAAA, 222, 333, 4444, 6666, 777, 888, 9999 = 28 cuts.
2-3-8-10: Improves with AAAA, 222, 333, 4444, 5555, 777, 888, 9999 + 14xXs = 42 cuts = 42/46 = 91.3% up to 5/6/7/8pts with AAAA, 222, 333, 4444, 9999, 101010 = 21 cuts.
2-3-7-10: Improves with AAAA, 222, 333, 4444, 5555, 6666, 777, 888 + 14xXs = 42 = 42/46 = 91.3% up to 5/6/7/8pts with AAAA, 222, 333, 4444, 5555, 101010 = 21 cuts.
I think 2-3-7-8 will peg slightly better than the other two.
In three deals time we want to be at 44pts and dealing that's 34pts away and the average is 36pts so we still have positional advantage but ideally we need to be deeper into the CPZ. I'll play Offense to improve my prospects.
The starting value of 2-3-7-8 is ¼pt less than other two but it has more cuts for improvement and more cuts for 5-7pts. Also I think it will peg better so I'll throw the 10-Q.
Joined: February 2008
Tuesday 2:20 PM
At 10-8* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:
Offense___Hand_Pegs__Crib___Total___W8 %____W9 %
Offense______L8 %____L9 %
2-3-7-8 is best for expected averages by 0.18pt and is slightly best for Win %s. Although its not lowest for Loss %s as 10-Q is more risky I'll select it to discard.
After the 4 cut I'll lead the 2 and play Offense:
Lead____________Our Pegging Pts.
Joined: November 2008
Tuesday 4:39 PM
Am sorry that this puzzle does not live up to my normal quality. Entered the website at 1:30 AM 3/6 to find that there was no puzzle for this date. The puzzle had been deleted at the last minute by a moderator. Some moderators might not know that when they delete a puzzle, the day is without one. Existing puzzles do not advance a day to fill the vacancy. So important if moderator does not submit a puzzle to fill that hole, make deletions a week ahead and remind folks of vacant spots available. In that case somebody can submit a puzzle within that week and not have to wait a year to see their puzzle appear. Keep the peggers and paly offense.