Today's results so far

*** This hand was suggested by Gougie00
113-105*  ?
40%
19%
14%
13%
5%
3%
1%
0%
0%
Total votes: 119

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Play this scenario out against a robot designed by Hal Mueller for eCribbage.com

james500
1474 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Sunday 3:06 AM
The cut of 6d has given me the whole eight points I need, so I don't need to worry about a pegging strategy. 5 lead.
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Rosemarie44
524 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Sunday 3:06 AM
Chose to toss T-J as this hand only has one cut that doesn't add value to the hand. Also 16 cuts increase hand to 8/10 points.
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dec
3675 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Sunday 3:12 AM
Might be wrong I also kept a chance that if I do not get in this hand will have a possibility of playing pegging out durng next hand. Will see what that bot references as the best shot. dec
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Gougie00
3209 votes

Joined: March 2008

   
Sunday 5:28 AM
I kept the cluster just in case of a middle card and because its better for pegging. Since I nailed the cut, I'll lead the 7 and play off.
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glmccuskey
2348 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Sunday 6:02 AM
Only a Ace and four doesn't get me at least 6 points and I retain the chance for nobs. Also, don't like throwing the 10-J as the dealer is not necessarily going out on this deal. I don't want to help them.
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spin121
104 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Sunday 7:36 AM
I'm trying to increase my chance to peg out next deal by not tossing 10 J
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Inushtuk1
289 votes

Joined: July 2016

   
Sunday 8:08 AM
I chose to try and show out this hand. This choice has the highest average hand. See Rosemarie44's post. I'm not interested in expected averages at this point. If I fall short, it seems like it will peg about as well offensively as any of the other options.

A most fortuitous cut. Lead the safer 3. Dump the 5 next time on anything that seems reasonably safe. If Dealer drops an X-card it's sayonara to my 5. Dealer can pair it for all I care. Good riddance.
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The_Bee_Mann
219 votes

Joined: November 2016

   
Sunday 8:09 AM
I discarded the 3 and J. Thought that left me with lots of possibilities. It did pay off.
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Coeurdelion
3180 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Sunday 3:01 PM
In this position I think we just need to hold the hand most likely to score and peg 8pts. I think 3-5-7-8 fits the bill well:

3-5-7-8: Improbes with 2222, 333, 4444, 555, 6666, 888, 9999 + 14xXs = 39 cuts = 39/46 = 84.8% and 333, 4444, 555, 6666, 888 = 17 cuts score 8pts or more and the remaining 22 6/7pts needing to peg 1/2pts.
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HalscribCLX
2925 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Sunday 3:53 PM
At 113-105* playing a Bold strategy the Win/Loss %s are:

Offense______Win %_____Loss %
3-5-7-8______84.8______15.2
5-7-8-J______80.2______19.8
5-7-8-10_____77.7______22.3
3-5-10-J_____77.5______22.5
3-5-7-J______75.1______24.9
5-7-10-J_____72.6______27.4
3-5-7-10_____71.4______28.6
5-8-10-J_____67.5______32.5
3-5-8-10_____43.4______36.6
3-5-8-J______41.0______35.1
7-8-10-J_____36.3______53.6
3-7-8-10_____30.5______60.6
3-7-8-J______29.7______60.5
3-7-10-J______7.9______46.9
3-8-10-J______5.4______51.9

3-5-7-8 is best for Win %s and Loss %s so I'll select 10-J to discard.

After the 6 cut I'll lead the 7 and play Optimally (cautious offense):

Lead___________Net Pegging Pts.____Win %
7__________________(-1.43)_________100.0
8__________________(-1.48)_________100.0
3__________________(-1.73)_________100.0
5__________________(-2.65)_________100.0
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