Wednesday 3:10 AM

I like to Flush.

Wednesday 3:25 AM

HM options 7-T, T-J in that order. I see no appeal in 4-6 to my own crib. I chose the J over the T because of the tendency of opp to keep the J rather than throwing it over the board, and my priority is to stop their pegging.

Cribbage Pro Daily Scrimmage *Spoiler*
Score: 121 to 85

1. 8-9 0*-0
2. 8-J 35-11*
3. 2-Q
4. A-3 (Worked but should've been A-9)
5. 3-Q
6. A-7
7. Q-K

Wordle 1,481 3/6*

⬜🟩⬜🟨⬜
🟩🟩⬜🟨🟨
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

Had a good feeling on 2, was less sure on 3 just because guess 2 missed.

Wednesday 3:25 AM

I need the big payday. Bingo. Lead the 4 and play off.

Wednesday 3:55 AM

Cutting practice has paid off!

** Spoilers ahead **

1. *0-0, 5-8
2. 34-11*, J-6, (J-8?)
3. *39-18, 2-Q
4. 58-27*, 3-9h, (A-3?)
5. *71-51, Q-3, (Q-5c?)
6. 90-58*, A-3, (A-7?)
7. *104-74, Q-K

I did okay, but a few of those discards could reasonably have been made differently.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
9th Jul 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 82 🦨
🌋SP: 2645
📅Streak: 23
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/543/3333658/1

* Has anybody seen/bought a copy of this book?

https://www.amazon.co.uk/Daily-Cribbage-Hand-Website-Companion/dp/1975654315/ref=mp_s_a_1_1?dib=eyJ2IjoiMSJ9.3AiDgNqexFC3ANIKxg03Wg.HMMj3JDieiE8K4twkJPLc8tQwYw4X_EIwD122yyYGNU&dib_tag=se&qid=1752058446&refinements=p_27%3ATorrey+Keller&s=books&sr=1-1&text=Torrey+Keller

Are we in it? I assume so.

Wednesday 4:25 AM

Wasn’t real sure about the 4-6 to crib. Considered TJ as well. Went with flush to hold more points in hand

Wednesday 4:36 AM

Been involved in comebacks for and against. Great keep the only fallback. If they received a similar hand this could harbor a skunk opportunity. Playing to win here, a remote chance they have this type of hand. Play on for the first count chance to be close. dec

Wednesday 4:45 AM

At this position, looking for a miracle 5 cut. Yikes, we got it. Now need to peg aggressively.

Wednesday 4:59 AM

4-6 to the crib when a 5 is already out there seemed risky. Odds of pone tossing a 5 are slim. Suited 10-J ain’t bad. Bingo cut!

Wednesday 5:13 AM

My crib, not their crib. Oops.

Might have held the flush then. But I wanted the 456 for a potential big hand. Unsure it i would have tossed the TJ instead. Would have turned out better....

Wednesday 5:38 AM

We need a hand and a crib, this arrangement seems best.

Wednesday 5:51 AM

This one felt best to me. The flush was tempting but holding a 5, I didn't like the 4, 6 to the crib. 10, J would have been my second choice.

Wednesday 5:51 AM

We're the Dealer, trailing Pone by a Dozen Holes, and our Opponent has already rounded onto Fourth Street, giving us a severe disadvantage in this game. 🛴

It's another RUN vs FLUSH vs Dual-Fifteen-Two-Hand endgame decision, and I tend to like these as listed, and in decreasing order. 🚤

The Four-Card-Run of (4 5 6 7) gets help from all but Four Cut Cards (AAAA), and stands to grow to reach a Dozen Points or more after a Dozen Cuts (444, 555, 666, 777), which is 12/46 equals 0.261 or with about a 26% chance of occurring. 🌴

This Four-Card-Run of (4 5 6 7) may only begin with Six Points in our Hand, yet Toss (T J) sends Touching Cards into our Box with a Crib Value of about 4.61 Points. The FLUSH would begin with Eight Points in our Hand, but Toss (4 6) pales in comparison with a Crib Value of about 3.85 Points, while if we Keep (4 5 6 J), which begins with Seven Points, then Toss (7 T) is even worse, with a Crib Value of about 3.23 Points (all values, Schell). Of the three discard ideas, only Toss (T J) makes sense. 🚙

Let's Toss (T J) today, and hold on tightly to the Four-Card-Run of (4 5 6 7). After the lovely 5 of Hearts Cut Card, we now have Fourteen Points in our Hand, and if Pone gave us something as seemingly innocuous at Toss (9 T) or Toss (5 9), we could actually end up with as much or more in our Crib, which means that if we can peg a few holes first, we may be able to 'conquer' an entire street by the completion of this deal! 🌉

Wordle 1,481 4/6 📘

⬛⬛⬛⬛🟨
⬛⬛⬛🟩⬛
🟨🟩⬛⬛🟨
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

Wednesday 5:52 AM

Wanting to be dealing from 96, we are very far behind and in big trouble. Several reasonable choices. This one has the most upside and must be the best pegger.

Wednesday 6:04 AM

Recall that Ras councils not to play for a favorable cut. He also councils that his rules and axioms apply 95% of the time. This score puts the 5% of the time in play. AND 💥 a five cut

Wednesday 7:24 AM

Thw flush is ugly to me, and no sense in balking my own crib.Keeping the points and run possibilities in both hand and crib.

Wednesday 7:46 AM

What they said

Wednesday 9:29 AM

At 80*-92 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_________________Our
Offense____Hand__Pegs_Crib_Total____W2 %___W3 %
4-5-6-7______9.57+3.87+4.31=17.75____2.3____7.4
5-7-10-J____10.85+3.09+3.68=17.62____1.6____7.3
4-5-6-10_____9.74+3.72+3.31=16.77____1.0____6.2
4-5-6-J______9.93+3.72+3.01=16.66____1.1____6.5

Offense________L2 %___L3 %
4-5-6-7_________31.9___80.1
5-7-10-J________31.0___80.7
4-5-6-10________31.1___80.9
4-5-6-J_________30.4___80.3

4-5-6-7 is best for expected averages by 0.13pt. and is slightly best for Win %s and joint second lowest for Loss %s. So, I'll select the 10-J to discard.

After the 5 cut I'll play Offense to the lead.

Wednesday 12:40 PM

I overestimated the (4-6) in my crib.