Yesterday's results

*** This hand was suggested by tevdodd
0-0*  ?
30%
30%
27%
27%
22%
22%
12%
12%
4%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Total votes: 299
mrob2199

Joined: February 2009 (1801 votes)

Monday 4:18 AM
Going for the monster cuts of 3 or 6 here- Plenty of other cuts get us to 8 with a very nice defensive toss of AK while holding 2 fours
scottcrib says: Welcome back.
Rosemarie44

Joined: March 2016 (2368 votes)

Monday 4:25 AM
Best hold for potential.
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (6323 votes)

Monday 4:52 AM
In my best Elijah White downeast accent "I didnt feel like a 6 would be cut. I kept the 55K because another facecard is 10 points. Beneficial cut changes my mindset from offense to defense. Lead the 4 and play off.

December already, ugh!
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4497 votes)

Monday 4:53 AM
Three fives with double run potential. Safe looking discard.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
1st Dec 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 107
🌋SP: 1810
📅Streak: 168
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/688/3333658/1

1. 2-4
2. 7-Q
3. A-A
4. 7-J
5. 10-K
6. J-K

Some good cards today meant the game was just six deals long.
Tall Troy says: Crazy pegging today. Are the top scorers that good or just lucky....or do they cheat the system?
james500 says: Hi Troy. There's no way to know for certain, but some of their hand choices can be unusual. Are they playing the game on one phone, and then playing a second time on another with the full knowledge of the hands and cuts? I don't understand why, but maybe they do.
fentesk says: There are people that show up in the top spots on the "first attempt" list most days/weeks that clearly are "cheating". I don't get why you'd blatantly cheat, but I guess they're not trying to hide it and must get some satisfaction from it. There is the "all attempts" that is designed for optimizing a given puzzle as well, which makes sense to see the same people leading there over and over.
tevdodd

Joined: May 2021 (456 votes)

Monday 5:13 AM
At first blush I wondered why I presented this, with 4455 appearing the obvious choice, then realized I did so because it's a fool's gold submission. Starry eyes of 4 cuts to 16/4 cuts to 24 with only 2 more cuts for 10 vs 8/13 ranks for 10+. 2,4,7,8,9 are loser cuts but we still start with our original max of 6.

Cribbage Pro Daily Scrimmage
Back to normal Score: 118 to 121 LOSS
Chalk except Hand 3, (5-7) from 27*-41
Hand 4 peg was probably my undoing, a las there was 1 card of difference in pegging Hand 9 in win vs loss, can't ask for more than that.
tevdodd says: Hand 7, not hand 9.
tevdodd says: 4 cut hits to 8, but didn't fit the 10+ statement.
tevdodd says: The same argument can be made (And maybe better) for A455
fentesk says: Hand 2 was a pegging disaster for me, but it looks like it (and others) was/were designed to be. I averaged 5 pegs and opponent 6.7. I didn't end up seeing Hand 7.
tevdodd says: I did the same in Hand 2, but hand 4 I actually considered another path and didn't have the early morning confidence to pursue it.
james500 says: Hi both. I was outpegged 11:2 in hand 2, ouch! I averaged 5 to their 6.5
fentesk says: I also lost 2:11 on Hand 2. Hand 4 I "only" lost 6:8 which I'm comparatively chalking up as a win!
HfxKen

Joined: February 2020 (1344 votes)

Monday 5:46 AM
Another perspective, Myers has keep of 4455 as the top discard.
HfxKen says: Sorry, this was a reply to tevdodd
tevdodd says: I touched on it briefly Ken. Honestly, I was just hoping I wasn't looking the fool with people voting this 90/10, but I was able to explain what I think are reasonable thought processes for the alternatives.
HfxKen says: I agree and you presented a good case for other holds. What board position would you consider for the flush keep?
tevdodd says: If we're tied(or better) as pone and 8-11 short of a positional hole. 60-58* as an example.
HfxKen says: Thanks
glmccuskey

Joined: April 2011 (4571 votes)

Monday 5:53 AM
Jazzselke

Joined: March 2009 (2964 votes)

Monday 5:53 AM
First hand, go for the home run with a negative delta toss.Only giving up 2 points, can't hold more than 6.
Eolus619 says: 👏👏👏👏 Congrats Dan on your 20th ACC sanctioned tournament win over the weekend ..
scottcrib says: Yay Dan!!! (hey Bruce)
Jazzselke says: Thanks!
dec

Joined: April 2008 (7077 votes)

Monday 6:15 AM
16 or 24. no 4-5. dec
domandcarol

Joined: August 2023 (295 votes)

Monday 6:28 AM
Went this way for a better chance at getting a good cut instead of going for the big one.
Assman

Joined: May 2024 (588 votes)

Monday 6:41 AM
Flush
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5850 votes)

Monday 7:32 AM
At 0-0* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_________________Our
Offense_____Hand_Pegs_Crib____Total___W9 %____W10 %
4-4-5-5______9.30+1.37+(-3.69)=6.98____30.1____28.4
A-4H-5-5_____8.57+1.85+(-3.68)=6.74____30.2____29.0
A-4H-5H-K___11.20+1.37+(-6.85)=5.72____35.0____26.6
4H-5-5-K_____9.52+1.37+(-5.50)=5.39____30.5____26.0

Offense_________L9 %____L10 %
4-4-5-5__________35.3____45.8
A-4H-5-5_________35.7____45.9
A-4H-5H-K________45.4____50.3
4H-5-5-K_________40.3____49.6

4-4-5-5 is best for expected averages by 0.24pt. over A-4H-5-5. A-4H-5H-K is best for Win %s but is very high for Loss %s. A-4H-5-5 is slightly better than 4-4-5-5 for Win %s while 4-4-5-5 is very slightly lower for Loss %s. As it's the start of the game and I'm recommending Offense I'll decide based on the expected averages and select the A-K to discard.

After the K cut I'll lead a 4 and play Offense:

Lead____________Our Pegging Points
4______________________1.27
5______________________1.08
Sgt Pegger

Joined: July 2017 (828 votes)

Monday 8:13 AM
Swing for the fence!
BennieO

Joined: August 2025 (107 votes)

Monday 8:24 AM
Go for it! A-K is a safe toss

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
1st Dec 2025
💔Score: 116 to 121
🌟SP: 554
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fentesk

Joined: January 2021 (1779 votes)

Monday 8:24 AM
Boom or bust hand with large standard deviation.

The A-K choice has 24 cuts for 8+, the flush has 46.

A-K has 10 cuts for 10+, the flush has 34.

A-K has 8 cuts for 16+, the flush has 0.

I'm wary of hands that have a significant portion of their average tied up in a few cuts. The A-K has 22% of its average tied up in the four 6s. The average is 7.9 vs 9.3 if the 6s aren't in the deck. Take out the best four cuts for the flush and the average drops to 10.9 vs 11.2.

But then A-K is much safer than 4-5.

A-K to opponent's crib scores 0 ~9.9%, 0-2 ~37.3%, 8+ ~15.4%. 4-5 to opponent's crib never scores 0, 2 ~8.2%, 8+ ~43.6%.

Running all these numbers after choosing the flush I may change my mind and go 4-4-5-5, but as first dealer I'll try and stand by the selection of the highest average hand for myself. I need to avoid feeling vindicated by the cut as it is one of the six best cuts for the flush (14) so it happened to hit its best scenario to our hand.

I am not surprised to see HAL predict the highest Win% and highest Loss% for the flush. Boom or bust all around today.
jmudge

Joined: July 2020 (1145 votes)

Monday 9:30 AM
Oh, I'm surprised! I thought I botched this one this morning. Happy December everyone!
Inushtuk1

Joined: July 2016 (1933 votes)

Monday 12:04 PM
I see no reason to toss Dealer (4-5) to hold an 8 point flush. Great pegging cards as long as I'm willing to give up a few along the way. But isn't that the norm for Pone? Lead the 4h. On many responses we can fake the flush to good effect. For example on a 9 response(13), our 5h makes the running count(18). Dealer seeing 2 hearts from me is more likely to pair that 5h as my second card. Same goes for any X-Card response.
guideontheside

Joined: July 2020 (783 votes)

Monday 12:24 PM
It pays to flush!
ryman554

Joined: January 2025 (287 votes)

Monday 1:08 PM
I didn't even consider the 4455. Probably should have, as I might have went that way over the flush.

I wasnt enamored of any of the other cuts which had K55, but figured (cut) cards that would help the dealer with the 45 toss also help me. So, let's go for it.