*** This hand was suggested by ras2829
|Total votes: 164|
Continue playing here against a computer opponent or
Play this scenario out against a robot designed by Hal Mueller for eCribbage.com
Joined: March 2016
Thursday 3:10 AM
Believe that the two choices for today will be between tossing A-A and 8-8. Values for A-A is 5.51 points and 8-8, 5.50 points.
Combined values (exp. avg. hand plus crib) are: 10.01 points, and 9.80 points, respectively.
Tossing 8-8 leaves a hand with a 2 and 3 card eleven feature. Opponent is 17 points ahead of us.
Also this hand has more cuts for improvement (17 cuts) improving the hand to 6/8/12 points vs. 14 cuts.
Joined: April 2008
Thursday 3:16 AM
Would the opponent throw me something like 7-9 or 4-X ? I will go for the maximum potential here as thin as it is. Live and learn. Seven,eight lead play on, King,Queen play a nine. Looks like all out offense here to me. dec
Joined: April 2016
Thursday 3:35 AM
Tossing the Aces. This has two ends of a double run to hit rather than one end (AA2_) plus a two card 11.
Joined: October 2008
Thursday 4:07 AM
My first inclination is perhaps to Toss (8 9), but maybe we can improve upon this.
Retaining the (A A 2) or the (8 8 9) seems paramount here. If we hold the former (A A 2) together, we have only a "one ended" chance for a Double RUN; the latter choice of holding (8 8 9) however allows us a "double ended" chance to achieve the Double RUN.
We are WAY behind in this game, seventeen points behind, to be exact. And so let's call this what it is: We are most likely actually fighting to prevent a SKUNK here!
While I would never advocate for Toss (A 2) here, I have long been a proponent of sending Two Aces into our Crib via Toss (A A). In fact, on more than one occasion, I have identified this maneuver of throwing Two Aces into the Crib as 'one of the most under-estimated' of all discards!
Aces in the Crib can often produce what I have called, "Pin Action." This means that an Ace can 'energize' quite a few combinations of Pone Discards, along with the Cut Card. And Two Aces can often magnify this effect.
If we get any Crib combination that otherwise adds up to either thirteen or fourteen points, by the addition of Two Aces we shall get a much-needed (15-2). If an additional Third Ace shows up, we boost our Crib to at least Six Points, and possibly up to a DOZEN or even more!
Therefore, I'll go with Toss (A A) here, and hope it can possibly get us 'Back in the Game.' And it might at least avert a SKUNK.
Joined: March 2009
Thursday 6:16 AM
Best we can do with a hand that can only start with 4 combined 4 points. JQT says it all.
Joined: March 2008
Thursday 6:58 AM
This a typical hand that I always seem to get on tournament day. I'll toss AA and hope for a 7 cut. Since that didnt happen, I'll attempt defense.
Joined: July 2016
Thursday 8:17 AM
More cuts for improvement to get over the skunk line. On any X-card play the 9. Use the three card eleven. Not afraid of giving up a three card run here. Since I gave away that "PinAction" I have to make sure I get the (31-4). This is the riskier way to keep it, and my chances of being skunked are now worse than those who tossed the Aces; after seeing that monarch. And I don't mean the butterfly.
Joined: June 2016
Thursday 8:36 AM
I would rather count on a 7 cut than hope for a 7 discard from the pone. That leave A-A as the only logical alternative for discard. I'll play as offensively as possible and hope my crib can be productive.
Joined: July 2017
Thursday 10:40 AM
Hmmmm! I see that ras2829 suggested this hand. I assume that he will weigh-in on this one and tell us what the statistically best throw and play should be?
Joined: June 2013
Thursday 1:06 PM
I suspect that keeping the two pairs and discarding 2-9 for 4+? will have a higher combined average than will any 2+2 combo(?).
In these positions though I need a big hand to get down the board, so I'll hold the open-ended double run prospect of 8-8-9 and discard A-A in obvious preference to A-2.