Sunday 3:42 AM

I quite like A-5-7-9 (2-2), but I'll gamble on something nice happening in the crib with A-2-2-9 (5-7).

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
16th Nov 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 118
🔥SP: 1225
📅Streak: 153
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/673/3333658/1

1. 7-7
2. 7-K
3. 10-Q
4. 3-4
5. 5-J
6. 8-Q
7. 3-5
8. 4h-7
9. 6-K
10. J-K

Desperately trying to hold them back in hand seven. The app didn't like my choice.

In hand four I could have chosen 10-J instead. Two points fewer to begin with, but potential for growth and maybe a safer discard?

Sunday 3:45 AM

* Oops. Hand eight was the unpopular defensive choice

Sunday 4:06 AM

We all love those 3-Card -Elevens with a pair at the end for pegging; but for every time that pegging coup works, there will be many more times it doesn't, and we've given ourselves a much lower Crib. Don't get cute. Stick to the basic averages. The two key connectors go into our Crib. After the cut I have 6 in the hand, and prospects for a decent Crib. Defense to the lead. Might be able to self pair my deuces while still playing away.

Sunday 4:24 AM

I guess that I am with the majority.

Sunday 4:25 AM

A 2 3 4 X cuts for main hand and then 5 6 7 8 X for help in the crib . The double eleven counts might determine pegging. dec

Sunday 5:17 AM

Sunday 5:32 AM

Keep the double-run possibility and pegging potential intact, and 57 to the crib, seems like the way to go.

Sunday 5:33 AM

Agree with above.

Sunday 5:49 AM

As above. Let's get the 5 working.

Sunday 6:09 AM

Fully on board this train today

Sunday 6:33 AM

Not liking anything on the menu. Hence 5-7 in my crib might find some friends.

Sunday 6:37 AM

I am on my own so far. Kept 2+2 with a chance for more.
Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
16th Nov 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 118
🔥SP: 1295
📅Streak: 5
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/673/8363472/1

Sunday 6:41 AM

Best time to gamble. Lost. Hoping he's holding all the bashful tens so I can peg 11.

Sunday 6:42 AM

Sleeping. Not 11 8.

Sunday 7:37 AM

Throwing the pair to the crib.

Sunday 7:45 AM

Runnin with the cool kids today.

Sunday 7:51 AM

Ditto...5 in the crib better than in my hand

Sunday 9:12 AM

At 0*-0 playing a Defense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_______________Pone's
Defense___Hand_Pegs____Crib_Total___W9 %____W10 %
A-2-2-9____4.87+(-2.20)+6.24=8.91____33.8____47.1
A-2-2-7____4.91+(-2.13)+5.48=8.26____31.8____38.9
A-5-7-9____4.87+(-2.11)+5.42=8.18____32.6____45.5
2-2-7-9____4.00+(-2.22)+5.47=7.25____29.9____43.9
A-2-2-5____5.39+(-2.22)+4.01=7.18____30.2____35.4

Defense______L9 %____L10 %
A-2-2-9_______26.4____26.6
A-2-2-7_______38.6____36.4
A-5-7-9_______27.1____28.3
2-2-7-9_______25.9____29.2
A-2-2-5_______41.9____40.5

A-2-2-9 is best for expected averages by 0.65pt. and is significantly best for Win %s and lowest for Loss %s. So, I'll select the 5-7 to discard.

After the A cut I'll play Defense to the lead.

Sunday 9:40 AM

I have a pegging question - nothing much to do with today's puzzle.
(I discarded 7-5, BTW)

Suppose it's your crib and after discarding you hold 3456. Opp leads a 10-spot, say, a queen. The cut card isn't all that relevant to this discussion - this is about pegging.

In the past, I've routinely played my 6 on the Q, bypassing 15 and looking to finagle some points as we approach 31. Not a bad way to go.

But lately I've been trying something different. My 3456 is beautiful for runs. How about playing my 3 on the Q? Hopefully, Opp plays his 2, then I play my 4, he plays his 5 and I play my 6. He's made 6 pts in runs, I've made 8 with a likely additional go. Plus yet another go, and a possible extra 2 points when he leads his last(4th) card and I respond with my 4th card(the 5).

I've been trying this lately, about 6 opportunities have risen and all turned out favorably for me. Playing the 3 on his Q instead of the 6.

Other run hands function similarly, eg holding 2345 when Opp leads a Q - instead of 15-ing it, maybe play the 2 on it and go from there.

6 opportunities is hardly a good sample size. Need 100's or 1000's of cases. But it makes for a good discussion.

What do you players here think about this? Go "safe" and bypass the 15? Or engage in a run battle immediately?

Sunday 10:46 AM

Hi JCM. I always just take the (15-2) on offense, and play the 6 on defense. Seems like clutching at straws to hope for the 2 response to the 3. But I'd love to hear how 'the wise guys' play that lead. You are right. It would take 1000's of trials.