Yesterday's results

*** This hand was suggested by tevdodd
111-107*  ?
66%
66%
15%
15%
9%
9%
4%
4%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 273
usacoder

Joined: August 2019 (1199 votes)

Wednesday 3:22 AM
We all are on Santa's naughty list.
jmudge says: lulz
TheGrumpyUncle

Joined: June 2025 (180 votes)

Wednesday 3:28 AM
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (6347 votes)

Wednesday 4:22 AM
Everyone's a loser today.
dec

Joined: April 2008 (7101 votes)

Wednesday 4:38 AM
I kept four points. No deal on that one. So lead a Queen and muck out some pegs here and hope for last bar positions on the next set. dec
Eolus619 says: morning dec…is you pegging sequence thinking Q(10)..5(15/2) ..Q(25)..3(28)..3( 31/4)..or something else .thanks
dec says: I am just seeing if thy have 5 -face cards with is what I do not want to see. Your guess is still good four points might help the cause here. dec
Eolus619 says: thanks👍
domandcarol

Joined: August 2023 (316 votes)

Wednesday 6:17 AM
Keep the 4 points, hope their hand is just as bad and we avoid any real damage in the crib
Rosemarie44

Joined: March 2016 (2386 votes)

Wednesday 6:42 AM
Someone said "we are on Santa's naughty list". You are so right!
Djgoat

Joined: December 2023 (443 votes)

Wednesday 7:11 AM
Sign me up for the naughty list!

Just missed the 🦨
Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
24th Dec 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 91
🌋SP: 1920
📅Streak: 23
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/711/8363472/1
tevdodd

Joined: May 2021 (480 votes)

Wednesday 7:27 AM
My apologies for the grinchy submission today. Hand occurred game 9 at grass roots if I recall correctly, and no, I didn't get my points as a result.

Cribbage Pro Daily Scrimmage
Score: 121 to 100
Differential Discard
6. Q-Q

Looking forward to learning this morning as I already see a couple results that smoked me.
Assman says: No apology needed. I am grateful for those who take the time. It's a good submission and made me think. I discounted the defensive strategy here, but in hindsight that's worthy of consideration in this position on the board.
fentesk says: I went defensive on hand 6 (Q-6). I thought about entering this one as a HotD for a skunk puzzle. I was already at 96 as non-dealer and decided defense was the choice, but I'm not sure if that's correct. I flat out chose wrong on Hand 2. It's the same as a week or so ago where seeing the actual numbers I still don't internally believe my choice was as wrong as it was, so I learned something today. Nice uncomfortable HotD arrangement today, I hope Halscrib weighs in.
tevdodd says: I saw it at 88-56*
Assman

Joined: May 2024 (613 votes)

Wednesday 7:44 AM
Hail Mary time! Oh no, the 4 starter is unhelpful.. Lead a Q and hope it plays out like Bruce suggests (above).
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4521 votes)

Wednesday 9:37 AM
Need a favourable cut. 4d isn't one.
Mcrume

Joined: April 2025 (254 votes)

Wednesday 9:46 AM
Mcrume says: I went this way. I figured more cards that can help, although nothing gets you out. Have to try to peg at least two
SallyAnn3 says: YAY... you and me with Hal, Mike :)
Sgt Pegger

Joined: July 2017 (851 votes)

Wednesday 9:56 AM
lol..... my favorite toss! Merry Christmas to all!
fentesk

Joined: January 2021 (1803 votes)

Wednesday 9:57 AM
I'm feeling holding dealer under 14 may be more likely that getting 10 with these cards when dealer is pegging with all-out defense.

These may be bad enough that getting close enough to peg out next hand will be difficult, but I'm aiming to extend the game today.
ryman554 says: Yeah, but that's holding dealer under 14 for *three* hands, not two, so we've gotta get out this hand (or hand + two pegging...) Maybe we cut a J next hand?
fentesk says: Agreed, the goal for me today would be to go out in the next pegging round which is definitely going to be a challenge, particularly after the cut. I didn't run out all the numbers to see what the percentages are, maybe a more aggressive discard gives us a better chance, but I'd guess we're under 20% to go out this hand. Dealer is ~ 50% to get 16 but I don't recall how much the percentage increases per point and I don't have the Colvert tables near by, but that's my thinking.
fentesk says: I found my copy of Colvert, the 5th edition table says odds of holding to 14 or fewer is 2.5 to 1, which translates to ~29% of the time (my gut feel was it would have been closer to ~35% so maybe I overestimated how well defense could work, but I am tossing a strong balk). I have also noted Colvert's tables sometimes have errors for how they write their odds when they give X to 1 instead of writing out percentages, but this table may be correct.
fentesk says: Ah, there does appear to be an error in the table (5th edition p. 117), I think Colvert (or the table editor) misapplied betting odds, or is using a different definition when making that table. I'm used to betting odds as you'd see in, for example horse racing, of 3 to 1 meaning you have a 1-in-4 chance, or 25% (3 chances it doesn't happen to 1 chance it does, or a 1 in 3+1 chance of it happening. On page 109 Colvert gives points by dealer for every score 0 to 41. Summing the chances from 1 to 14 you get 399, so 399/1000 or ~40%. This corresponds to 1/2.5, and I believe many (all?) of the "odds" given on p. 117 have this same error (or uses an alternate odds definition). So Colvert would say we have a 33% chance (which they write 3 to 1) to keep dealer below 14. With all of that said, I fully accept that defense may be the wrong approach today, with those being the numbers to work from.
PT47

Joined: December 2025 (21 votes)

Wednesday 10:16 AM
Did not want to pitch pair to the dealer’s crib, but thought that I had better pegging potential with 67 in the mix.
scottcrib

Joined: August 2019 (2250 votes)

Wednesday 10:31 AM
Sixteen cuts for 8+ this way versus nine cuts if tossing QQ.
scottcrib says: Ok, so only 12 cuts for 8+.
SallyAnn3

Joined: March 2020 (1394 votes)

Wednesday 11:25 AM
On my island again. The 5 was my goal instead of the 2, so I'd have something I could peg/escape with.
Happy Holidays to all :)
SallyAnn3 says: At least I pegged 8 and only lost by 2 onn Cribbage Pro
ShinnHappens

Joined: October 2025 (38 votes)

Wednesday 11:36 AM
It was supposed to be a 2!! Oh no, there goes the grandkids' college fund!
jmudge

Joined: July 2020 (1163 votes)

Wednesday 11:50 AM
Rough one today. Here's wishing a happy holiday to y'all. Cheers!
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5876 votes)

Wednesday 1:11 PM
At 111-107*n playing an offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/loss %s are:

_______________Our
Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib____Total____Win %___Loss %
3-3-6D-Q___3.61+1.37+(-4.23)=0.75______8.4____49.9
3-3-7-Q____3.78+1.07+(-4.15)=0.70______9.9____49.5
3-3-6-7____3.61+1.57+(-5.96)=0.13_____24.5____62.5
3S-7-Q-Q___3.43+1.20+(-4.56)=0.07______4.8____50.7
3-3-Q-Q____5.39+0.96+(-6.34)=0.01_____14.4____61.1
6-7-Q-Q____3.83+1.41+(-6.61)=(-1.37)__14.2____68.1

If I go for the Win 3-3-6-7 has the best Win %s but a high Loss %. On the other hand if we try to make it for another deal and peg out as Dealer then 3-3-7-Q has the lowest Loss %s. As I'm recommending Offense I'll go for the Win and discard the Q-Q.

After the 4 cut I'll lead a 3 and play Offense:

Lead_____________Our Pegging Points_____Loss %
6_______________________1.42_____________44.1
7_______________________1.38_____________44.4
3_______________________1.37_____________35.6

Although the 6 lead is best for Our Pegging Points a 3 lead is lowest for Loss %s.
MiketheExpert

Joined: April 2021 (1333 votes)

Wednesday 1:43 PM
We might as well go for the most cuts which will get us out or close. We don't have any room for being cute, don't expect dealer to make it easy for us to peg out. After the cut, we may as well lead the 3 and see what happens.
simon.meth says: I would lead the 3 as well. Some pundits above say lead the Q to flush out a 5. I don't see why that's a good idea...
GeminiDream

Joined: January 2025 (258 votes)

Wednesday 8:28 PM
Less than two hours away here... I'll go ahead and say... Merry Christmas!