March 17, 2017
44% | |||||
43% | |||||
5% | |||||
1% | |||||
1% | |||||
1% | |||||
0% | |||||
0% | |||||
0% | |||||
Total votes: 207 |
dec 6358 votes Joined: April 2008 |
    Friday 3:03 AM
Four point sacrafice here . Play the middle cards in the pegging leave low cards till the end. dec smugly says: Really, just 2-pt sacrifice, right? You still get the pair in the crib. Guest says: cutting main hand from six to two is how I view it alas maybe Ras can elaborate on that dec Rosemarie44 says: From Ras's notes: toss of 5-5 to own crib is worth a sacrifice in the hand of up to four points if retaining hand potential for twelve points or more. |
Samgash 402 votes Joined: November 2016 |
    Friday 3:13 AM
5-5 is too cool to hang out with that crew in the hand. Send the prodigal son to the crib to explore. |
Rosemarie44 2052 votes Joined: March 2016 |
    Friday 4:12 AM
I chose toss 5-6. But this submission from Ras had me going back and forth--this one, no this one.....Even today I am not sure. Guest says: You been taking too many " not sure pills " |
bbaer1 3691 votes Joined: February 2011 |
    Friday 5:00 AM
Not being dealt any X cards sealed the deal for me. |
JQT 4143 votes Joined: October 2008 |
    Friday 5:01 AM
Top o' the Irish mornin' ... Too bad we cannot 'WISH' that Ace of Clubs to be an Ace of Spades...
Since not, we'll have to settle for the reality of trying to decide if breaking up the (2 5 5 8) hand is justified by our Sacrifice Limits. Meanwhile, busting up the (5 5 6) could be our largest 'cost' today. Toss (5 5) is The King of Dealer Discards, and it not only produces a nearly nine-point Crib Average, but also allows a Sacrificial Limit of up to FOUR POINTS! Meanwhile, if we Keep (A 2 6 8), we're still holding onto Two Points in a hand that should peg as well or better, as opposed to Keep (2 5 5 8), a 6-point Hand which may not fare quite as well. Even if we call the pegging as 'even,' Toss (5 5) is apparently only 'costing' us Four Points while it promises to generate over TWICE that much in our Crib, and it does fall in nicely right within those aforementioned Sacrificial Limits. Therefore, Toss (5 5), Drink Irish Whisky (and Green Beer), and Let It Go! JQT says: You put those Five Cards in your Crib: After all, it's called Cribbage, not Hand-age! |
PalT47 589 votes Joined: March 2017 |
    Friday 5:14 AM
One of perhaps only 3 votes so far splitting the 5s, I was reluctant to send both 5s to the crib in case an X didn't find it's way there. Split allows all cuts to add value to hand. I feel the same way Rosemarie44 does- "this one- no this one". Good puzzle. |
Gougie00 5729 votes Joined: March 2008 |
    Friday 5:16 AM
Without being dealt a face card, I'll toss 55 in my crib. Go ahead an toss me a 10-K. |
mfetchCT425 1399 votes Joined: February 2009 |
    Friday 5:56 AM
5-5 is strongest discard to own crib and A-2-6-8 has a 3-card magic 11 for what should be a good pegging hand as dealer. All cuts help this hand except the X-pointers, but alas, we would be delighted to see one as it would guarantee at least 6 points in crib. Ras2829 says: Hi mfetchCT425: Nice seeing you in Reno. You've captured the essence of this hand in a couple of sentences. The cards that do not add value to the hand give great potential to that 5-5 in the crib. Good job! |
glmccuskey 4100 votes Joined: April 2011 |
    Friday 6:35 AM
I think RAS wants the 5's in the crib but that's cutting my hand down to just two points. Not for me. A-6 is a decent discard. |
james500 3923 votes Joined: June 2013 |
    Friday 7:00 AM
- Strong discard that's within sacrifice limit.
- Every cut from Ace to 9 improves the hand, Xs help the crib. - Three card 11 (8-2-A) and, probably not as useful today with fewer fives in circulation, a three card 16 (8-6-2) also. |
PBatterson 1453 votes Joined: March 2009 |
    Friday 7:07 AM
In Massachusetts you are supposed to raise your hand when throwing two fives in your crib. cribbagepogo says: You owe me three hand raises. |
cribbagepogo 3251 votes Joined: October 2007 |
    Friday 7:14 AM
Many cards help the hand. Let the 5.s do as they will, we have at least 2 points. |
duke62 1483 votes Joined: September 2014 |
    Friday 9:11 AM
Tough choice. Considered toss A-6, 5-5, and 5-6. Settled on the way I've more traditionally played it just to ensure my lesson is learned when the stats are revealed! |
The_Bee_Mann 306 votes Joined: November 2016 |
    Friday 9:43 AM
I couldn't resist. I sent the pair of 5s to the crib. |
Inushtuk1 1486 votes Joined: July 2016 |
    Friday 11:28 AM
I couldn't resist either. Hey PBatterson, can you see my hand? I mean the one attached to my wrist; not my cards. I'm hoping this is another one of the 5% exceptions to The Big Hand Rule; as we cannot honestly answer "Yes", to both those by now very familiar questions. We have the A-2-8 three card eleven for defensive pegging. Why not go for it in the crib? The A-2-5-8(5-6) has that same great three card eleven, but its expected average is almost 1.75 points lower, so it's bye-bye 5's for me.
Now somebody direct me to the Baker City Elk's Club. Guest says: How about Berlin Ont. Hillchem says: Is there a Berlin, Ontario? Is that Kitchener, or somewhere else? Guest says: Kitchener is the new name for Berlin |
Andy (muesli64) 2223 votes Joined: August 2009 |
    Friday 12:12 PM
Throw the 5-5/. Must be the reason RAS put this puzzle in! |
Ras2829 5153 votes Joined: November 2008 |
    Friday 2:43 PM
Based on my accumulated empirical data, there are 9 of 91 discard combinations which are worth a sacrifice of points in hand when dealing. The Big Hand Rule does not apply here although the sacrifice limits defined therein can be applied to this hand. The 5-5 to own crib averages 8.876 (500) 1/91, scores two points 2.4%, score 8 or more 60.2%, and tallies 12 or more 20.8%. Nothing comes close to those figures. Note that the 5-5 is 40 times as likely to produce 8 or more than to score a mere two points in crib. In 500 instances of discarding 5-5 to own crib, only 12 resulted in two points (2.4%). Yet a common lament I hear is "when I toss 5-5 to my crib, it only scores two points." Don't believe that. Your mind is playing tricks on you. If dealing, look for hands where 5-5 in hand offers only six points. Can you retain two points and put the 5-5 to own crib? It is such a strong discard as folks will often toss two X-point cards (10-K, 10-Q, Q-K, and other X-point combos less frequently). Those X-point cards often are not of value in non-dealer hand and allow the retention of the better pegging cards as well. A lot of folks love the 7-8 discard when dealing; yet seldom will opponent toss two middle cards. They work pretty well if the starter card is a middle card. The 5-5 discard often scores 10-12 with no help from the starter card. Try it: you'll like it! If you would like to know more about sacrifice limits when dealing, Email
raswino29@outlook.com. Ras2829 says: The sacrifice limits for the 5-5 are four points in hand score as alluded to by JQT above. Other combinations are very few among the 91 worth a sacrifice of 1-2 points in dealer hand score. What might they be? Guest says: 2-3, 5-J, 5-6, 5-K, 5-10, 5-Q, 4-5, Guest says: That's me, Rosemarie 44 above. james500 says: 7-7 from 4-5-6-7-7-X. Ras2829 says: Hi Rosemarie44 and james500: That's just great! The 7 listed by Rosemarie, the one example shown by james500, plus the puzzle of today add up to nine. Folks such as you are the reason for my being and I value your postings and replies immensely. Ras2829 says: Even though Queen cut is no help to the hand, RAS knows it is of big help to crib. Would be highly unlikely to discover less than 8 points in crib. So we continue to play defensive strategy as dealer of opening hand. Had the cut been a 9 spot, giving me a four point hand and likely no help in crib, would have opted for an optimal pegging strategy. Here we play off the lead, knowing of 2 hand points, 6 in the crib, and a guaranteed dealer peg for nine total holes. |
Coeurdelion 5594 votes Joined: October 2007 |
    Friday 2:58 PM
I think its the choice between the 6pts with 2-5-5-8 (A-6) and A-2-6-8 (5-5):
2-5-5-8: 6pts + 3¾pts (Schell: 3.85) = 9¾pts A-2-6-8: 2pts + 8¾pts (Schell: 8.79) = 10¾pts Potential: 2-5-5-8: Improves with 222, 3333, 55, 7777, 888 + 16xXs = 32 cuts = 32/46 = 69.6% up to 10/12/14pts with 222, 55, 888 + 16xXs = 24 cuts. A-2-6-8: Improves with AAA, 222, 3333, 4444, 55, 666, 7777, 888, 9999 = 30 cuts = 30 cuts = 30/46 = 65.2% up to 6/8/9pts with AAA, 666, 7777, 888 = 13 cuts. Pegging: Whether playing Defense or Offense I think A-2-6-8 will peg better with more low cards and a 3-card magic eleven. Position: At game start as Dealer we'll be pegging Defensively. Summary: A-2-6-8 has the better starting value by 1pt and although the number of cuts for improvement is lower and the maximum value much lower it does have 13 cuts for 6-9pts which is a tremendous increase from 2pts. Ras's sacrifice rules I believe allow for a 4pt sacrifice in order to throw 5-5 so this fits within that. For all these reasons I'll throw the 5-5. |
HalscribCLX 5317 votes Joined: February 2008 |
    Friday 3:27 PM
At 0*-0 playing a Defense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:
________________Pone's Defense___Hand__Pegs___Crib_Total____W9 %____W10 % A-2-6-8___4.35+(-1.89)+8.82=11.28____39.9____52.2 2-5-5-8___8.87+(-2.17)+3.51=10.21____38.0____51.6 Defense_______L9 %____L10 % A-2-6-8_______26.4____22.7 2-5-5-8_______25.2____22.8 A-2-6-8 is better for expected averages by 1.07pt and is slightly better for Win %s although sightly worse for Loss %s. So I'll select the 5-5 to discard. After the Q cut I'll play Defense to the lead. |