October 12, 2017

*** This hand was suggested by james500
67*-81  ?
46%
23%
17%
3%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 162

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Rosemarie44
613 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Thursday 3:14 AM
This is a repeat of the hand submitted on 9/28/17 but with different positions on the board. I chose to toss 5-8 again to my crib.
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BigFoot Bob
537 votes

Joined: April 2016

   
Thursday 3:17 AM
Went with the simple double run today.
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Ras2829
2785 votes

Joined: November 2008

   
Thursday 3:22 AM
This hand has such a chance for growth, go for it when this 4-card 15-2 is present. Cut the fourth 4 spot for one of crib's rarest 20-pointers. At hole 67 with opponent already at 81 it's off., off., off. for me. That lousy 9 starter card missed the hand and is not likely to add much value to the crib. Am at a loss for words this early morn.
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dec
3774 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Thursday 3:32 AM
Go for the triple and/or the three,four cuts and we a nick in the crib. Time to shift into second if not third. dec
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Jazzselke
842 votes

Joined: March 2009

   
Thursday 4:03 AM
Agree with commenters,or is it commentators (attention Dave Aiken, JQT). Hold the oen-ended triple-run and a 5 in the crib.
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james500
1560 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Thursday 4:50 AM
Wasn't aware that I'd sent in what is essentially the same puzzle, twice in short succession. Oops.

I'm little behind here and so is Pone, no need for me to keep an escape card then. 5-8 instead of the 4-5 I chose a fortnight or so ago. It was wrong then and would be even "wronger" today.
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glmccuskey
2433 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Thursday 5:33 AM
Looks like we all agree.
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Mumble T Pegger
160 votes

Joined: January 2015

   
Thursday 6:08 AM
Dan, a commenter makes isolated comments. A commentator is someone who provides commentary (I.e., expresses opinions or offers explanations about an event or situation). So, I would say that someone like me is a commenter on this site whereas someone like Ras is a commentator.
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Gougie00
3299 votes

Joined: March 2008

   
Thursday 7:51 AM
Wondering if suited 45 might be the right answer if the scenario was different. I'm behind by 17 and need a monster hand. The 9 doesnt fit the bill, and I probably just lost.
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Coeurdelion
3255 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Thursday 8:09 AM
As james500 has said we had this hand on September 28th except its a different board position. Then we were playing Defense. Here I would play Offense as we're short of position. I think 5-8 is still the right discard.
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Inushtuk1
360 votes

Joined: July 2016

   
Thursday 9:08 AM
Like I said two weeks ago, I keep it this way on offense and defense.
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HalscribCLX
3000 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Thursday 1:14 PM
At 67*-81 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Pone's
Defense___Hand__Pegs_Crib_Total____W3 %____W4 %
3-4-4-4___10.80+2.85+5.57=19.22____11.9____33.0
3-4-4-5*__11.67+3.67+3.59=18.93_____9.7____28.7
3-4-4-8*___8.22+3.09+6.23=17.54_____7.6____26.8

Defense_______L3 %____L4 %
3-4-4-4_______28.6____54.6
3-4-4-5*______31.8____60.4
3-4-4-8*______28.8____61.8

* suited discards

3-4-4-4 is better for expected averages by 0.29pt and is significantly better for Win %s and Loss %. So I'll select 5-8 to discard.

After the 9 cut I'll play Offense to the lead.
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