March 10, 2018
78% 78% | |||||
13% 13% | |||||
8% 8% | |||||
Total votes: 122 |
Joined: April 2008 (6858 votes) Saturday 3:24 AM
Twelve cuts gets you in. The six cut gets you to deadhole. The five and The Jack of three suits gets you to 119. I am leading the ten and hope to trap the rest soon or later. dec Guest says: KIlroy was here,,,,,,,, |
Joined: March 2016 (2243 votes) Saturday 3:31 AM
We could toss J-K and hold 6 points. Or, toss T-K, hold the Jack for the possibility of an additional point with a hand that starts with 5 points. With the 5 cut, either way we have 8 points needing 10 points to win. |
Joined: June 2013 (4348 votes) Saturday 4:43 AM
Too late in the game to consider K-10, so I'll keep the guaranteed six points, rather than the guaranteed five with a 1/4 chance of the sixth.
Clutching at straws maybe, but I'll lead the 10: 10(10)-5(15/2)-9(24)-go-7(31/2). |
Joined: March 2008 (6174 votes) Saturday 5:04 AM
Who knew the correct answer was to toss the 78? Had I done that, I'd have 10 and out. Cribbage fairy is off her meds again.
I kept 789-10 because it made sense at the time. Lead the 7 and try to generate some pegging. Tomorrow we have to futz with the clocks again. james500 says: Hi Greg. Fwiw, the clocks don't go forward until the last Sunday of the month here in the UK. Rosemarie44 says: I like to change my clocks Saturday night. Fortunately, my computer and my bedroom clock change automatically for me. Gougie00 says: We still have a daughter at home who fixes the clocks, changes the smoke alarms and changes the calendars for her senile parents. Guest says: I don't change my clocks, but I change my socks on occasion |
Joined: April 2011 (4485 votes) Saturday 5:44 AM
Not worth sacrificing two points to throw 7-K. I’ll lead the ten the keep 7-8-9 intact. |
Joined: July 2016 (1836 votes) Saturday 7:28 AM
It’s now or never. This gives us the most outs. We only need to peg 2 points. Lead the 10 to keep the 7-8-9 intact. On pretty much all the replies dump the 9. This gives us the best chance to get the GO and keeps our scorers intact. Of course we simply pair the 7 response for the win. I’m quite confident we can do this. |
Joined: March 2009 (2867 votes) Saturday 7:48 AM
Should be 100%. |
Joined: December 2017 (1330 votes) Saturday 9:20 AM
Where's the catch?
I doubt dealer is going to let me trap him in a run on the first play at this score so I'd lead the 10 to disguise my hand a bit and hopefully pick up some points further in the play. |
Joined: October 2008 (4519 votes) Saturday 11:58 AM
Perhaps more of a pegging puzzle than a discard puzzle.
I'll start with the 7 Card. JQT says: P.S. Don't change your clocks ... just change the time ... this saves lots of time and money..... Ras2829 says: Hi JQT: Like your humor regarding changing clocks. Will keep that line in mind! |
Joined: October 2007 (5766 votes) Saturday 4:12 PM
We can keep 6pts with the risky J-K or 5pts with the ultra-safe 10-K or 4pts with the fairly safe 7-K:
7-8-9-10: Improves to 7pts with JJJJ 8pts with 5555 9pts with 6666 12pts with 999, 101010 14pts with 777, 888 20 cuts for 8pts or more. 7-8-9-J Improves to 7pts with 1010100, JJJ 8pts with 6666 10pts with 999 12pts with 777, 888 13 cuts for 8pts or more 11 clubs for 1pt for his nob 8-9-10-J Improves to 7pts with 777 8pts with 5555 10pts with 888,999,101010,JJJ 16 cuts for 8pts or more 11 clubs for 1pt for his nob Its a balance between the safety of the discard and the number of cuts for 8pts or more. The safer discard gives us nore chance to reach next deal and may allow us to peg out as Dealer. I prefer to go with more cuts this deal and will risk the J-K. |
Joined: February 2008 (5705 votes) Saturday 4:15 PM
At 104*-111 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the Win/Loss %s are:
Offense______W1 %_____L2 %_____W2 %_____L2 % 7-8-9-10_____48.4_____34.3_____61.1_____29.8 7-8-9-J______40.1_____27.9_____56.8_____34.5 7-8-9-K______34.9_____37.7_____46.9_____41.7 8-9-10-J_____36.5_____28.4_____45.0_____45.2 7-8-9-10 has a considerably higher Win % but a much worse Loss % this deal because of the more risky J-K. But even so I'll play Offense and select J-K to discard. |
Joined: November 2008 (5496 votes) Saturday 5:05 PM
It's all been said for me today. Want to count out this time. Seems to me leading the 10 is the best shot. If dealer has a 7, a 10 spot as lead would bring it out in preference to other mid cards and believe dealer would play off on a 7 lead if at all possible. Think any way you play it, lead from the outer edge of these four cards. Take any two pegs offered. With dealer needing 17, would think our chances are slightly better than 50% on chalk up a win. Might get two deals to do that. |