December 3, 2018

*** This hand was suggested by Gougie00
69-55*  ?
83%
6%
3%
3%
1%
0%
Total votes: 161

Continue playing here against a computer opponent or
Play this scenario out against a robot designed by Hal Mueller for eCribbage.com

Rosemarie44
1034 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Monday 3:04 AM
Going with expected averages by choosing to toss 2-7 to dealer.
The values of 2-7 or 2-6 are only .01 points difference.
Same as yesterday, chose to keep the 6 card in the hand because of its proximity to the fives in the hand.
Reply
JQT
2486 votes

Joined: October 2008

   
Monday 3:12 AM
Let's hold onto that nice, tasty, chewy center. Lead the 5s.
Reply
dec
4284 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Monday 3:35 AM
4-5-7 cuts big big hand here. dec
Reply
james500
1973 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Monday 4:05 AM
With three fives and a seven known to be out of circulation, 6Sp should be much more isolated in the crib than 7h, which has all four eights and three sixes available to find.

Lead the 5 of clubs.
Reply
zeke76
105 votes

Joined: August 2018

   
Monday 5:22 AM
Triple nickel.
Reply
glmccuskey
2846 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Monday 5:30 AM
With 14 points Iíll be dealing well up 3rd street. Lead the five of spades.
Reply
Jazzselke
1122 votes

Joined: March 2009

   
Monday 5:44 AM
With dealer at 55 not going to worry about throwing 27.
Reply
Andy (muesli64)
1419 votes

Joined: August 2009

   
Monday 6:12 AM
2-7. Not too taxing for a Monday morning.
Reply
Ras2829
3212 votes

Joined: November 2008

   
Monday 7:29 AM
Important to retain 5-5-5 for 8 points here rather than double run. With about 25% who play this game, they have not yet figured that 5-5-5 is worth 8 points. That might be the purpose of this puzzle submission. If crib was on my side of the board, would have ditched suited 2-5. Lead the 5s, if dealer plays on my lead will take what pegs I can garner as have no escape. Likely drop another five on my second play. With dealer short of 3rd street CPZ 69-73, have chosen an optimal pegging strategy.
Reply
dgergens
204 votes

Joined: January 2018

   
Monday 9:06 AM
I was about to keep the double run and chance the 5 donation to the crib, but then it dawned on me that three 5's was 8 pts. Held on to the 7 just to keep the dealer down. Was expecting a 10 cut over a 4 or 7 anyway.
Reply
cribbagepogo
2721 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Monday 10:57 AM
Not sure why any other save. Cards next to each other. Hoping for a 6 cut hurts me by helping the crib even if it gives me 17.
Reply
joekayak
577 votes

Joined: May 2016

Monday 1:39 PM
Another hand to break up the double run!!
Reply
HalscribCLX
3438 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Monday 1:52 PM
At 69-55* playing a Defense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_________________Dlr's
Defense___Hand___Pegs____Crib___Total___W3 %___W4 %
5-5-5-6___12.54+(-4.37)+(-4.36)=3.81____8.9____59.5
5-5-5-7___11.76+(-3.93)+(-4.29)=3.54____5.4____57.3

Defense______L3 %___L4 %
5-5-5-6______0.4____5.3
5-5-5-7______0.3____5.0

5-5-5-6 is better for expected averages by 0.27pt and is appreciably better for Win %s although very slightly higher for Loss %s. So I'll select 2-7 to discard.

After the K cut I'll lead a 5 and play Optimally (cautious offense):

Lead________Net Pegging Pts.
5_______________(-2.79)
6_______________(-3.89)
Reply
Coeurdelion
3678 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Monday 1:59 PM
Has to be the safest discard with the most potential.
Reply