Saturday 3:12 AM

I believe we need to look at where we want to be on the board when we are dealer this next hand. A sure 12 points holding these cards.

Saturday 3:20 AM

Every cut is helpful to me.

2,3 and 5 out of circulation reduces the number of friends that 10-2 might meet in their crib.

Lead the 2 and I can score on all replies except a 2,6 and 7.

** Cribbage Pro Spoilers ahead **

1. *0-0, 7-8
2. 19-15*, A-8
3. *32-28, J-K?
4. 44-36*, K-2
5. *59-47, 8-10
6. 80-61*, 7-9
7. *95-74, J-K
8. 111-85*, A-7
9. *118-107, 9-10

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
5th Jul 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 107
🌋SP: 1610
📅Streak: 19
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/539/3333658/1

Saturday 3:22 AM

I believe where they are is a more urgent matter. Two lead. dec

Saturday 3:26 AM

Every cut improves us to 6+ and we're sitting with reasonable peggers to potentially make-up the 3 pt difference to our positional hole if needed. Opp is just a little too close to that positional hole to risk the 5-T toss today.

Cribbage Pro Daily Scrimmage -
Score: 121 to 91
SP: 2040

Discards:
1. 7-8
2. A-8
3. 2-8
4. 2-K
5. 8-T
6. 5-7 78-54*
7. J-K
8. A-7 116-86*
Wordle 1,477 4/6*

⬜🟩⬜⬜⬜
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🟨🟩⬜🟩🟩
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

Saturday 3:43 AM

Our hand improves regardless of cut but it would have been nice to pair up one of these

Saturday 4:15 AM

A recent puzzle confirmed for me that tossing X5 to dealer is a reasonable play so I thought I’d try it that way again. Plus every cut helps too.

Saturday 4:22 AM

We can’t provide the dealer with any help here,so keeping the double run to discard X5 is out of the question

Saturday 4:50 AM

We have a Double Run of (2 2 3 4) that gets help from ANY Cut Card, or a Four-Card Run of (2 3 4 5) that ALSO gets help from ANY Cut Card, or . . . we could roll over and go back to bed (an idea which is misleading, because we can actually do this before or after ANY discard)! 🛏 💤

The Double Run starts out with Eight Points, but it also gets help from EVERY Cut Card, so it's a powerful weapon, but it requires us to relinquish Toss (5 T) into the Enemy Crib, which is worth about 7.41 Points 'over the board' (Schell). It might be "worth it" if the Cut Card is one of the three extant 4 Cards, boosting our Hand up to Eighteen Points, and making it such that subtracting close to Eight Points from it might be a bit more palatable. 👅

But in most instances, such as any of the following Twenty-Seven Cuts, which includes a Dozen Middle Cards as well as the remaining Fifteen X Cards (6666, 8888, 9999, TTT, JJJJ, QQQQ, KKKK), we'll simply be 'chalking up' a Dozen Points and then giving away nearly Eight Points in the process, for a rudimentary NET Total Gain of around Four Points! But is that terrible? 🎭

Now we wish to contrast and compare this with (2 3 4 5), which will start us off with at least Six Points, and after Toss (2 T) unsuited, which 'chimes in' at a rather innocuous 4.59 Points in Crib Value, we should have a NET Total Gain of about 1.41 Points. Therefore, in order to "break even" with this weaker idea, we would have to peg an astounding additional 2.5 Points with (2 3 4 5), and that's simply unreasonable, as this Hand is likely no better, and probably the pegging equivalent of the other idea of (2 2 3 4). 🤔

Therefore, the only way (2 3 4 5) could be an improvement over (2 2 3 4) is if the former idea is defensive enough with respect to both the Pegging Outcome AND the Crib Value, in order to merit holding the weaker of the two Hands. With the Dealer on the cusp of reaching the Fourth Street Par Hole 96, this is a worthy consideration, making this a very intricate puzzle due to the board position, but if we also take our own position into consideration FIRST AND FOREMOST, we really do need those extra points badly on our side of the lumber! 🧩

We're playing with fire at this Relative Score, and a strong case could be made to be very defensive here and be patient and hold (2 3 4 5). If Spread Points were a major concern, or if we were playing for stakes that involved so much per point, I would probably be giving the Four-Card Run a chance here, but in a straightforward quest to get to the Finish Line FIRST, I'm going to allow myself to be hypnotized into choosing the Double Run. 🔥

Let's nervously Toss (5 T) today, and look away from our Opponent's direction as though we've not got a care in the whole wide world, in spite of the unfathomable turmoil that is going on in our mind and in our heart. After the insidious Jack Cut, our Friendly Dealer gets "Two for Her Heels" and 'boogies on down' to Hole 95 already, and almost achieves "par" through no effort of her own! We try not to take it personally, but we might have to consider sending her address to Publishers Clearing House. 😨

🌻 🌼 🌿 🌺 🌼 🌻 S U M M E R T I M E 🌻 🌼 🌿 🌺 🌼 🌻

Ella 1957
https://youtu.be/VZRgiuAXRAs

Ella 1968
https://youtu.be/u2bigf337aU

Janis 1969 Studio
https://youtu.be/w-WxWv5RgEc

Janis 1969 Live
https://youtu.be/bn5TNqjuHiU

Anna Chung 2011
https://youtu.be/UmkGSBoixHU

Porgy and Bess 2012
https://youtu.be/rh_SJoS1uYE

Andrea Motis 2015
https://youtu.be/UxIPVAPRBi4

Shaye Cohn & Dr. Michael White 2019
https://youtu.be/BoACO-7w8gY

Mungo Jerry 1970
https://youtu.be/wvUQcnfwUUM

Wordle 1,477 4/6 (University that began when Texas was a COUNTRY)

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🟨🟩⬛🟩🟩
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

Saturday 5:40 AM

Elsewhere, I toss 5-10. Here, I need to toss a rock in the dealer's crib. I'll hold 2-3-4-5 and hope I can peg a little without getting pegged on myself. Yeah, good luck with that. Lead the 2 and ditch the 5.

Saturday 5:58 AM

Switching to defense after the cut and leading the 3. dumping one of the deuces next to put a bit of space between the remaining cards.

Saturday 6:04 AM

Every cut helps to give me at least 6, plus pegging.
Not the time to toss face/five.

Saturday 6:18 AM

In some positions would throw the 510, but this would not be one of them. I. E. if either of us was 5 holes farther back would strongly consider the 510.

Saturday 6:29 AM

Al Miller is right until he isn’t. At 87-93* & seeing no Xs this is not a time to toss a five ( which is a sure two points ) and risk an 7+ point dealer crib. Playing D ..tossing 2-10 🤞 opponent ends up short of 111

Saturday 11:37 AM

At 87-93* playing a Defense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Dlr's
Defense___Hand__Pegs____Crib____Total___W1 %____W2 %
2-2-3-4____12.30+(-2.67)+(-7.69)=1.94____0.0_____14.2
2C-3-4-5____8.52+(-2.65)+(-4.11)=1.76____0.0______6.0

Defense_______L1 %____L2 %
2-2-3-4________4.8_____50.5
2C-3-4-5_______1.2_____31.2

2-2-3-4 is better for expected averages by 0.18pt. and is considerably better for Win %s. However 2C-3-4-5 is very, very much lower for Loss %s and as I'm recommending a Defense strategy I'll select the unsuited 2-10 to discard.

After the J cut I'll lead the 3 and play Optimally (cautious offense):

Lead_____________Net Pegging Points
3_______________________(-0.15)
2_______________________(-0.35)
4_______________________(-0.48)
5_______________________(-1.57)

Saturday 11:38 AM

The dealer is just far enough from 96, I'm just close enough that I have to take the guaranteed 10 (and likely 12+) and risk the X5 to the crib.

I'll be honest, I didn't see the 2345, but it would not have changed my mind. I need points and risk it.

I am not happy about that J cut. Ah well. Hope is dim.