Friday 3:06 AM

With this hand you will have a minimum of 10 points and a potential of 12-16 points without giving away two points to dealer. If you hold 6778 there are many cards that don't increase the value and you will have given away a five and 10 card to dealer.

Friday 3:20 AM

I just can’t stomach throwing 10-5 to my opponent when they are dealing from 23 out-I’ll hope for the 12-16 hand and to hold dealer down with the 8-10- I’ll need another big hand on my deal but IMO that’s the best way to potentially steal this game

Friday 3:27 AM

We're 22 back of where we want to be, and they are 2 ahead. This is a mountain to climb with little road left. It's time to go for that perfect cut. We can't afford to throw the opponent free points here, so the T5 option is out. We can throw 6T but then our best cut scenario only goes to 14, and gives the opp 2 points in that crib we need to limit if we do. Today, we hold 5677 giving ourselves a CHANCE at that 6 cut to hopefully make this a full 3 deal finish.

Friday 3:33 AM

Wordle 1,448 4/6

⬜⬜🟨🟨⬜
⬜⬜🟩⬜🟨
🟨⬜🟩🟨🟨
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

1 new word created this morning :( Just impatient.

Friday 3:34 AM

Every cut helps me, good reasons to think 10-7 might fail to help them:

10 + 7 > 15,

Another 7 and an 8 out of circulation reduces the availability of cards that immediately make two points with their 7,

The 5 card in my hand reduces the availability of cards that immediately make 15/2 with their 10 card,

The 6 and 8 cards in my hand reduce the chance of their 7 card becoming part of a run in either direction.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
6th Jun 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 109
🌋SP: 1620
📅Streak: 13
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/510/3333658/1

Friday 3:36 AM

Its worth the risk. I need to work on my cutting skills. Where is that damned 8 of spades? Ugh.

Friday 3:38 AM

Desperation I think not. Play well never give up until statistically eliminated. Besides even if you peg like thirty here that leaves their crib to count. dec

Friday 4:03 AM

Best hand to balance between offense and defense.

Friday 4:37 AM

Swing for the fences

Friday 4:43 AM

Friday 4:51 AM

We are Pone, trailing by a colossal Twenty-Four Points! We'd like to navigate at least Seventeen Holes and arrive onto Fourth Street before our Opponent can traverse Twenty-Three Holes and SKUNK us into Cribbage Oblivion! 🦨

Do we hold a Dozen Points, with hopes of turning it into a massive Twenty-Four Points with Three Cuts (888), while also enduring Toss (5 T) in the Enemy Crib? Or should we 'hedge' with (5 6 7 7) and a starting Eight Points, but with a safer Toss (8 T)? 🤔

We have such poor prospects of winning this game, and so I'm inclined to hold the Delightful Dozen (6 7 7 8), and maybe we can crawl back into contention, or at least avert the SKUNK. Another way to try to avert the SKUNK might be to invoke Toss (6 T) and apply Full Brakes to the Dealer. It's probably not a terrible idea. 🍬

Let's Toss (5 T) today, because Why Not?! After the 4 Card Cut, we get a heavy dose of Why Not! I suppose we might have been better off after Toss (8 T) after all, as those who did so still found their way to a Dozen Points. Who Knew? Let's lead a 7 Card from our PAIR, and try not to self-sabotage this game any more than we've done already. 💥

Alf Clausen (28 March 1941 - 29 May 2025)
Compilation Soundtrack Tribute "Don't have a 🐄 man!"
https://youtu.be/avPrUzI4LVI

Wordle 1,448 4/6

⬛⬛⬛⬛🟨
🟨🟨🟩⬛⬛
⬛⬛🟩🟨🟨
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

Friday 4:56 AM

Every cut helps and I'm hoping the 10-7 is harder for them to connect

Friday 5:12 AM

I hate giving up 5-10, but I will swing for the fences here. Any middle card cut could give me a decent chance to steal this one.

Friday 5:36 AM

Another time and board position might consider tossing 10-5 to opponent crib, but not this time.

Friday 5:43 AM

Prudence is the better part of valor…

Friday 6:02 AM

At a score such as this I feel we have to give our self a chance for an amaing come back. Lead the 7.

Friday 6:06 AM

With Dealer threatening to go out when we deal next, we need to try to slow him down and avoid being skunked. Do we pitch 5-T, putting us at 86+ and likely getting skunked? Do we defend a bit with 8-T, putting us at 84+ (every cut helps) and hope Dealer remains short? The welcome 4 cut puts us at 88, but we still need to peg defensively. If Dealer pairs our 4 lead, we can play our 7 for 15-2, putting us at 90, and we can try to inch our way over that skunk line.

Friday 6:38 AM

I hate throwing points into my opponents crib, but we are so far out of position here we really need a miracle anyway. I decided to think long term if this is tournament play. Cut my spread points, that may come in handy at the end of 22 games, live to play another game

Friday 6:52 AM

We're already in trouble so why not go for the middle card cut? Won't get it if we don't try.

Friday 7:24 AM

The 4 cut was welcome. I can’t give away the 5 and the 10

Friday 8:16 AM

Swinging for the fences without giving away the farm.

Friday 12:39 PM

At 74-98* playing an Optimal strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Net
Optimal___Hand__Pegs____Crib____Total___W1 %____W2 %
6-7-7-8____14.87+(-1.41)+(-7.65)=5.80____0.0_____0.4
5-6-7-7____11.78+(-1.57)+(-4.48)=5.73____0.0_____0.2

Optimal______L1 %____L2 %
6-7-7-8_______16.0____76.2
5-6-7-7________8.0____61.5

6-7-7-8 is better for expected averages by 0.07pt. and is very slightly better for Win %s but 5-6-7-7 is very much lower for Loss %s. So I'll select the 8-10 to discard.

After the 4 cut I'll lead a 7 and play Defense:

Lead____________Dealer's Pegging Points
7_______________________(-2.46)
6_______________________(-2.70)
5_______________________(-3.30)