Yesterday's results

*** This hand was suggested by Djgoat
106-76*  ?
55%
55%
19%
19%
12%
12%
8%
8%
2%
2%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 308
DjgoatWe're up 30 holes. Do we dare toss a pair 7s or blow it up and play D?
usacoder

Joined: August 2019 (1190 votes)

Monday 3:31 AM
Way too skunky.
TheGrumpyUncle

Joined: June 2025 (171 votes)

Monday 3:49 AM
No need for risky play, just happy to cruise to a Win.
tevdodd

Joined: May 2021 (471 votes)

Monday 4:12 AM
I'm going for the skunk this morning and I think this is the best route to get it. Lead the 3, hopefully we get the 15 and trap a K or T after the go for the next 4 pegs for the 6 total pegs we need to win.

Furthermore, worst case scenario opp hits 24 crib. Assuming average hand/peg of 10 they still sit at 110 and we still have a reasonable opportunity to win this game. If the cards only come together for 20 or 21 you're looking at 106-107 which I think all of us are pretty confident in at that point.

Daily Cribbage Scrimmage
Score: 121 to 113
Differential Discards
5. 6-K 69-48*
9. T-Q 117-109*

For people who don't see Hand 9, it is 38TcQcKK. I gave up an extra couple pegs just testing out my thought process for how I would've pegged it if cut missed.
tevdodd says: On that note, just a question for the audience. If you need 2 points, have a 2 card 11 as pone, if opp plays the initial face card on your lead (Either side of the 11) are you playing one of the X pair at that point, or sticking with the initial thought of hopefully running them out after the go? Obviously a situation that makes more sense with an 8 lead rather than a 3, but something I was trying to think thru when choosing the lead card as I thought the 3 was more likely to entice a high middle or T card response to potentially open the door for the original thought process.
Djgoat says: I was done in 8 so didn't see hand 9. On 4 I gambled and threw the 6-8. Turned into a 9 hand and I picked up 6 pegs
Nanotruck

Joined: May 2025 (131 votes)

Monday 4:18 AM
Poor guy could use some help. I'll gift the 7s.
Tall Troy says: That was funny!
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (6338 votes)

Monday 4:33 AM
Nursing a huge lead. I would rather the sure 2 pointer than risk losing.
dec

Joined: April 2008 (7092 votes)

Monday 4:36 AM
1. If we needed three points in a qualifying needed situation 7-7. 2. If we needed two points to assure qualifying Q-7 . 3. vendetta Q-7. Now lead a three go for two points and a three card run. dec
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4512 votes)

Monday 6:00 AM
Mismatched Q-7 from me. As long as they're behind us, they can't beat us.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
15th Dec 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 102
🌋SP: 1855
đź“…Streak: 182
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/702/3333658/1

1. 3-6
2. 8-K
3. A-2
4. 8-10
5. 6-8
6. 5-J
7. A-7
8. A-9

Hand 2: If the hand was 3-4-4-5-8-K then I'd have chosen 5-K, but the 3-3-4-5 from 3-3-4-5-8-K is worth ten points not eight, so 8-K was my choice.

Hand 5: I'm not sure my 6-8 was the right answer. Unnecessarily risky perhaps? A-2-3-6 (8-K) was also in my thoughts, with the 3-2-6 combo for pegging.
Djgoat says: I did the same on hand 2 then immediately regretted that decision. Should have gone with K-5.
Inushtuk1 says: On Hand 2, keeping the 3-3-4-5 was the right play. I assume the cut was the pain in the Ace. Half the time Dealer just throws away what doesn't work. As far as 3-4-4-5-8-K; on Offense I'd still keep the Double Run, balking my own Crib for the the better pegging. But on Defense I'd keep the 3-4-4-8(5-K) for the escape card, and the higher Crib average.
Djgoat

Joined: December 2023 (434 votes)

Monday 6:23 AM
With this hand a skunk is likely out of reach so no need to help them.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
15th Dec 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 111
🌋SP: 1640
đź“…Streak: 14
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/702/8363472/1
Assman

Joined: May 2024 (604 votes)

Monday 6:24 AM
Play D. lead the 3.
glmccuskey

Joined: April 2011 (4581 votes)

Monday 6:37 AM
SallyAnn3

Joined: March 2020 (1386 votes)

Monday 6:38 AM
I was taught to always go for the win, not the skunk--unless needed to qualify in a tourney. Not risking a 24 crib when I am holding nothing to win with.
farleysma

Joined: March 2022 (395 votes)

Monday 6:45 AM
Throwing the 7s here would be a needless risk. 77 to keep a queen is not a trade worth making so I’ll break it up.
domandcarol

Joined: August 2023 (307 votes)

Monday 6:54 AM
With this lead and being late in the game willing to risk the 77 to the crib. Chances of crib blowing up to 24 or more are probably low (maybe higher on crib pro lol) Probably playing more cautiously if we’re early in game.
Sgt Pegger

Joined: July 2017 (843 votes)

Monday 7:07 AM
Gonna be on my own today.
SallyAnn3 says: You can borrow the island today--peace and quiet ;)
Jazzselke

Joined: March 2009 (2983 votes)

Monday 7:13 AM
Unless we need the skunk.

Congrats to Rob M who prevailed for his 50th ACC Sanctioned win. He ranks 10th on the all-time list.
Eolus619 says: Rob..I also add my congrats..those are two significant cribbage milestones for sure đź’Ąđź’Ąđź‘Źđź‘Ź
dec says: Very Good Rob. Just to put in perspective until recently Rob did not travel far often. dec
Inushtuk1

Joined: July 2016 (1950 votes)

Monday 7:18 AM
I think even if I needed the 3 point win; or I'm playing someone I'd really like to skunk for whatever reason; that the best chance to do so is the unsuited (7-J) at this point. Dealer isn't that far from crossing the 70 bar. Also I do recall Ras saying he gets more skunks with Defense than Offense.
Eolus619 says: morning Mike..clarification please..your card display shows you tossed 7/Q…your text says 7-J…you are an accomplished player so I do not want to miss your teaching point ..
Inushtuk1 says: Hi Bruce. There was no teaching point. This "accomplished player" is wiping the egg from his face. I meant (7-Q) unsuited.
Eolus619

Joined: June 2020 (1927 votes)

Monday 7:20 AM
dec does a very good job laying out the discard options and the whys of each..this puzzle makes for a review of some Ras evidence ..recall that 7/8..6/7..6/8..8/9..7/9 are five of the ten most frequent dealer discards ..so one can see the vulnerability of 7/7 being tossed ..and from the discard tables ..11/13 pairs across the board average 6+ points …7/7 ranks #2 @ 7.14
Eolus619 says: discard tables..cribbageforum.. http://www.cribbageforum.com/SchellDiscard.htm
Eolus619 says: and another source of “evidence” from Ras..7-Q is on his lowest average balk discard list.. https://www.cribbage.org/NewSite/tips/rasmussen7.asp
mrob2199

Joined: February 2009 (1813 votes)

Monday 7:26 AM
The chance of scoring 15 points with the 23JQ configuration is just way too low to risk throwing the 77 to the dealers crib-as Sally wrote let’s just play for the win-nothing wrong with a 20 point win
Eolus619 says: Rob…👏👏👏👏👏.. congratulations on being in the 50/10 club..cribbage milestones indeed..well and truly done ❗️💥
SallyAnn3 says: wow...you agree with me! I alrady congratulated you on the 50th, but extra ones now that Dan tells us you are in the top 10 EVER! amazing!!
Eolus619 says: and a btw..no one can say you have not gotten big time “mileage” from your NE Long Match jacket…maybe it is your cribbage playing good luck clothing ?
HfxKen says: Thought I hit reply. mrob2199, could you share some thoughts on yesterday's puzzle? Thanks
mrob2199 says: Thanks everyone-I got very lucky to win my first match versus Stan with an 18 hand on fourth street-then got a couple lucky cuts to win a couple others-such a fine line between winning a tournament and getting bounced in the first round
HfxKen

Joined: February 2020 (1359 votes)

Monday 8:57 AM
mrob2199- congrats on your achievement!
Would you mind -having a look at yesterday's hand and give your thoughts?
Thanks
Ken
mrob2199 says: I like the 3678 hold from that spot-especially against a weaker player - you have magic 11 with the 3-8 and a potential 5 trap with the 67- and if the pone has a middle hand you have great coverage with the 678- I think you cover the most bases with this hold
HfxKen says: Thank you. I really need to work on my end game pegging and strategy.
BennieO

Joined: August 2025 (122 votes)

Monday 9:02 AM
Score’s not nearly close enough to 121 to play hero with a 7-7 discard.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
15th Dec 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 109
🌋SP: 1650
đź“…Streak: 364
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/702/7389935/1
PT47

Joined: December 2025 (13 votes)

Monday 11:19 AM
Didn’t have my glasses on- thought it was my crib:(
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5865 votes)

Monday 11:46 AM
At 106-76* laying an Optimal strategy for the pegging (cautious offense) the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s and Skunk %s are:

_______________Net
Optimal___Hand_Pegs____Crib____Total_____W1 %___W2 %
2-3-7D-J___4.96+(-1.11)+(-4.18)=(-0.34)___0.1____95.3
2-3-7-Q____4.70+(-1.04)+(-4.59)=(-0.94)___0.0____94.7
2-3-J-Q____7.30+(-1.59)+(-6.87)=(-1.16)___2.3____96.1
2-3-7-7____5.04+(-0.93)+(-5.92)=(-1.81)___0.2____95.2

Optimal________L1 %___L2 %____Skunk %
2-3-7D-J________0.0____0.4______0.1
2-3-7-Q_________0.0____0.4______0.0
2-3-J-Q_________0.0____1.4______1.0
2-3-7-7_________0.0____0.9______0.1

2-3-7D-J is best for expected averages by 0.60pt. However, 2-3-J-Q is best for Win %s and the best for Skunk %s. Although it is slightly worst for Loss %s I'll still select the 7-7 to discard.

After the 10 cut I'll lead the J and play Offense:

Lead___________Our Pegging Points______Win %
Q_____________________1.58______________1.4
J_____________________1.56______________1.5
2_____________________0.88______________0.2
3_____________________0.84______________0.2

Although the Q lead is best by 0.02pt. over the J, the J is best for Win %s by 0.1%.
tevdodd says: Hal's numbers seem to add more questions than answers for situations like this. Does Hal include the peg of the next hand in the stats for W1 or L1? Otherwise, how does someone peg 15 even 1.3% of the time (Difference between W1 and Skunk %) against 23JQ?
MiketheExpert

Joined: April 2021 (1324 votes)

Monday 3:02 PM
We're very unlikely to make it out this hand going to make it out this hand with a maximum score of 10 holding the 2 3 J Q, so I disagree with HAL and think the best chance to "skunk" is to throw the balk. However, there could be something to be said for hoping to get within pegging distance to go out on the next hand, I might try if dealer were at hole 72,but not hole 76.