April 8, 2021

*** This hand was suggested by Ras2829
111-104*  ?
35%
26%
10%
9%
4%
4%
2%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Total votes: 214
james500
2826 votes

Joined: June 2013

   
Thursday 3:05 AM
Plenty of helpful cuts. K8 may cause Dealer to come up short if I do too.
3 lead from 335 eleven.
Rosemarie44
1856 votes

Joined: March 2016

   
Thursday 3:35 AM
I don't think we can afford to toss a pair of 8's to dealer at this position. Secondly we just don't have a good enough hand to work with as it appears we might come up short as James says.
mrob2199
630 votes

Joined: February 2009

   
Thursday 4:13 AM
All or nothing throw today-the 2,3,5,or 7 cut get us to 119 and we can plot our course to 2 peg points from there
zeke76
901 votes

Joined: August 2018

   
Thursday 4:46 AM
Also went with the Hail Mary.
Andy (muesli64)
1946 votes

Joined: August 2009

   
Thursday 4:58 AM
Go for it. The balance is fine but with us.
glmccuskey
3375 votes

Joined: April 2011

   
Thursday 5:00 AM
Can’t see a reason for defense.
dec
5220 votes

Joined: April 2008

   
Thursday 5:05 AM
since d is out of the window , King lead? dec
Gougie00
4608 votes

Joined: March 2008

   
Thursday 5:11 AM
Chalk up a loss. I needed a 2,4 or 7. The dealer probably won't help you by pairing the three. Lead the king and try to mix it up.

Pleasant morning in Northern Massachusetts.
mfetchCT425
819 votes

Joined: February 2009

   
Thursday 6:06 AM
With opponent only 17 away with pegs and two counts, I gotta go aggressive here. The 3-card magic 11 may get us some needed pegs. With the awful cut will lead the K.
jmudge
167 votes

Joined: July 2020

   
Thursday 6:19 AM
Same thoughts as Rosemary and James.
dgergens
815 votes

Joined: January 2018

   
Thursday 6:45 AM
Interesting diellema. We don't get to score first next hand, so either we win or we stay in the game one more round and hope to peg out. If we take 4 pts, we give dealer crib points (with high potential), we are virtually guaranteed to lose if we don't win this hand. If we take 2 points, we may slow down dealer, enough to stay in the game on more time, but will we even be close enough to the end to peg out next deal? What are the chances we would get the average 10 points if we hold 3358? You're gambling on a favorable cut either strategy, 335K has more possible favorable cuts getting us closer to 10 points.
RubyTuesday
698 votes

Joined: January 2019

   
Thursday 6:54 AM
Rosemary, James and jmudge explain why I threw K 8 to dealer.
wasa
1941 votes

Joined: November 2014

   
Thursday 6:56 AM
Darn the torpedoes, full speed ahead! Leading the K
MiketheExpert
18 votes

Joined: April 2021

   
Thursday 7:32 AM
I kept 3,3,5,8. I don't think you can afford to toss the par of 8's. This is helped by any many cuts, the only cut that does not help this hand is a 6. Play to peg and score to get out if possible, however there is a good chance you get the deal on the next hand, so as soon as you realize you can't (with this cut), you have to play defense and hope to hole out on the next hand.
SallyAnn3
320 votes

Joined: March 2020

   
Thursday 8:23 AM
NIKE! Just DO it. My only hope here
Coeurdelion
4523 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Thursday 1:56 PM
We need 10pts to go out so I think we should keep the 3-card magic eleven 3-3-5 for the pegging and the K for 4pts. That will give us 2222, 33, 4444, 555, 7777, KKK = 20 cuts to score 8pts or more and needing to peg 2pts if we hold 8pts. So I'll risk the 8-8 throw.
HalscribCLX
4268 votes

Joined: February 2008

   
Thursday 1:57 PM
At 111-104* in this end of game position the Win/Loss %s are the most important factor. So I'll play Offense and the Win/Loss %s are:

Offense_____Win1 %___Loss1 %____Win2 %____Loss2 %
3-3-5-K_____44.2______42.1______53.0_______35.5
5-8-8-K_____21.8______44.2______33.4_______53.7
3-3-5-8_____18.9______28.4______29.3_______61.4
3-5-8-K_____11.7______32.7______26.7_______63.3
3-5-8-8_____17.1______32.1______25.6_______64.7
3-3-8-8_____16.2______51.4______18.6_______69.1

3-3-5-K has by far the highest chances of Winning so I'll select 8-8 to discard.

After the A cut I'll lead the 3D and play Offense:

Lead_______Our Pegging Pts
3_______________2.02
K_______________1.79
5_______________1.36
cribbagepogo
3067 votes

Joined: October 2007

   
Thursday 2:10 PM
K 8spade and K 8 heart the same. Add the two and about equal. Don't want to help so much.
Ras2829
4073 votes

Joined: November 2008

   
Thursday 2:27 PM
With opponent having first count next deal, am thinking offense from the git-go. Lead the 3d and take any pegs offered. After the lousy cut, need to get down the board aggressively. Two pegs will put me at hole 117 for my next deal with pegging advantage. Still a tough show to chalk up a win as dealer of this hand is very likely to be at the end of the board (120). Even so - don't despair. Play for the win.