June 19, 2022
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Total votes: 230 |
Goatman 2502 votes Joined: March 2017 |
    Sunday 3:02 AM
Like keeping 566. Can’t toss 23 to dealer to keep the 9 so 92 to dealer. Got the cut I was looking for. RedTailRogue says: Same. Glad to see that 4 |
james500 3895 votes Joined: June 2013 |
    Sunday 3:12 AM
I'll keep all eight points.
To yesterday's list of five letter words with only three different letters, I'll offer Mummy, Daddy, Nanny, Lolly, Fluff, Cocoa, Llama, Toots and Hooch. Whether any of those are likely to feature on Wordle, I don't know. fentesk says: I've been wondering if they'll go the next step and throw mamma or nanna at people. Gougie00 says: Although allegedly started in England, Quordle uses words like "armor" that the Brits still spell with that extra U. I recall Cocoa being a word in recent times |
Gougie00 5702 votes Joined: March 2008 |
    Sunday 3:49 AM
Wish I knew in advance that the 4 would be the starter. The pregnant 3s gives me 8 and since its all about me, I kept the points.
It'll be a cold day in June before I do that. Well, its 49 here. Yikes. |
polynumeral 4507 votes Joined: December 2008 |
    Sunday 4:18 AM
I always like combinations of 3 6 9. Playing to my strengths today. |
dec 6327 votes Joined: April 2008 |
    Sunday 4:37 AM
Still on first street. Attempt to slow down opponent and hope to reverse on second street in our favor. Six or hearts lead. dec |
fentesk 1173 votes Joined: January 2021 |
    Sunday 5:14 AM
For hands like this I look to see if there is a viable way to not give up a 5, which today means either breaking the 2-3 or sending 6-9.
3-5-6-6 has about half the deck to get to 8+ points and outside shot at getting us back with the 4 while also holding dealer back with the weak 2-9. Surprised (and pleased) with the cut. |
Samgash33 127 votes Joined: December 2017 |
    Sunday 5:29 AM
This was probably a mistake. But with opponent 14 points behind next critical hole, I tossed 2-3 and hoped for the best. With this cut, we will be at hole 36+ dealing, so getting closer to taking back position. So I’ll lead a 6 and hope to trap a 4 for 5-point 31. |
scottcrib 1608 votes Joined: August 2019 |
    Sunday 5:30 AM
I see no reason to toss the dealer points. I still have several helpful cuts available and if the 4 is cut to help the crib, then it probably helps me more. |
JQT 4136 votes Joined: October 2008 |
    Sunday 5:34 AM
We are trailing the Dealer by Ten Holes on First Street, but there is some small consolation in that we have also passed the First Street Par Hole 18 by a few holes. Still, our Relative Position is "pants on fire"!
We were dealt a rather nice bunch of cards, which makes for a tricky discard, since we cannot Toss (2 3)! What can we risk? The puzzle is clearly baiting us to Toss (2 5) and hold the Eight Points, and I'm tempted to take the bait today. Our main problem is that we need to get our own pegs MOVING, and after Toss (2 5), it should meet this objective. We also have Keep (3 5 6 6) and Toss (2 9), which puts a damper on our own score, but also puts the brakes on what we give the Dealer. Those closely-knit cards offer us some real hope if we can get any of a Baker's Dozen or Thirteen fortunate Cut Cards (333, 4444, 66, 7777). After the 4 Card Cut, those who decided to Toss (2 5) might want to scream, topple the game board, and pull the fire alarm. Those who decided to Toss (6 9) off-suit did okay! But we got ourselves Sixteen Points! Yippee, but we're probably still losing. Let's lead a 6 Card from our PAIR. |
farleysma 294 votes Joined: March 2022 |
    Sunday 5:35 AM
I don’t love this as a pegging hand, but I’ll reduce by two points to avoid giving the dealer 2-3 in the crib. |
mrob2199 1407 votes Joined: February 2009 |
    Sunday 6:13 AM
It was either this or the 3669 discarding 2/5-prefer the more defensive toss with the open ended 566 here-just too much board remains to get too aggressive |
Sally3 303 votes Joined: October 2021 |
    Sunday 6:44 AM
*Happy Father's Day!* I'm keeping my points here. Not so worried about 2-5. Keith Widener always says that a 5 yields only 4 points in the crib 70% of the time. I cut wrong--this time. |
Eolus619 1313 votes Joined: June 2020 |
    Sunday 7:29 AM
This is a very good board position puzzle imo. Pone is being forced to decide to play O or D here….20-30*…30*-46…46-56*…56*-72…72-82*. Current dealer will be dealing first from CPZ #2 & #3 if things don’t change. Keep 3-5-6-6 gets cut help from 3,4,5,6,7,9 & all Xs. |
Duby86 223 votes Joined: May 2022 |
    Sunday 8:09 AM
Eight points is good |
Fender Bass 373 votes Joined: July 2021 |
    Sunday 8:50 AM
2/3 isn't always bad in opp's crib and I think there are more cuts available this way. Eolus619 says: as to…2/3…have a look at the discard tables
http://www.cribbageforum.com/SchellDiscard.htm
|
winesteward48 813 votes Joined: April 2021 |
    Sunday 8:56 AM
I decided to start with max points. |
MiketheExpert 1094 votes Joined: April 2021 |
    Sunday 9:53 AM
Note that the trouble has started early, but in no way should we exasperate things by throwing a discard such as (2 3). There is still plenty of time in this game, and we are at least over hole 18, and this should tell us that although we are in need of pegs to advance on the board, we should also concentrate on slowing dealer's movement just as much. Throwing the safe (2 9) seems to potentially accomplish both objectives the best, and also keeps intact many cuts for substantial improvement, including the bingo 4 cut for max 16 pts which we achieved on CHOD today if we chose to keep this hand. After the great cut, let's lead a 6 from our pair. Next puzzle of the day: If dealer continues by pairing this 6 lead, what is your next play? MiketheExpert says: And the word should be exacerbate...:)) Inushtuk1 says: My next move would be to trip the 6. Ras2829 says: Hi MiketheExpert: Agree with Inushtuk1 on the triple. Most often in non-end-game scenarios, dealer pairs the opening lead when having a hand of small count. And by taking the triple on the third six, n/d moves down the board 22 holes. N/D of this hand needs to have upcoming crib in 2nd street CPZ (43-47). Go for it! MiketheExpert says: I think so too, because 6 pts on top of a 16-pt hand is a little too valuable to pass up when you are that close from dealing into 2nd street CPZ....I might think different if we got a weak cut or would not put us there at the risk of giving up 12 --- in that case would be better to play the safe 15 and maybe even get a 31-2 |
jmudge 700 votes Joined: July 2020 |
    Sunday 11:06 AM
*choke* |
Coeurdelion 5574 votes Joined: October 2007 |
    Sunday 2:02 PM
I think it's between 5-6-6-9 (2-3), 3-6-6-9 (2-5) and 3-5-6-6 (2-9):
5-6-6-9: 6pts - 7½pts (Schell: 7.33) = -1½pts 3-6-6-9: 8pts - 6¼pts (Schell: 6.11) = +1¾pts 3-5-6-6: 4pts - 4¾pts (Schell: 4.70) = -¾pt Potential: 5-6-6-9: Improves with 333, 4444, 555, 66, 7777, 999 + 16xXs = 35 cuts = 35/46 = 76.1% up to 12/16pts with 4444, 66, 7777, 999 = 13 cuts. 3-6-6-9: Improves with 333, 66, 999 = 8 cuts = 8/46 = 17.4% up to 14/18pts with all cuts. 3-5-6-6: Improves with AAAA, 333, 4444, 555, 66, 7777, 999 + 16xXs = 39 cuts = 39/46 = 84.8% up to 8/12/16pts with AAAA, 333, 4444, 66, 7777 = 17 cuts. Position: Opponent is likely to be at 2nd street positional hole first and we're well behind. I think our best tactic will be to play Defense and try to hold Dealer back. Pegging: I think playing Defense 3-6-6-9 will peg best. Summary: 3-6-6-9 is best for starting value by 2½pts over 3-5-6-6 but it has very few cuts for improvement although the 8 will score 14/18pts. 3-4-6-6 has more cuts for improvement with 17 cuts for 8-16pts compared to 13 cuts for 12/16pts with 5-6-6-9. I also think it will peg slightly better than 5-6-6-9. So I'll throw the fairly Defensive 2-9. |
HalscribCLX 5297 votes Joined: February 2008 |
    Sunday 2:08 PM
At 20-30* playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:
_______________Our Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib____Total___W6 %___W7 % 3-5-6-6____7.78+1.63+(-4.28)=5.13____2.2____10.8 3-6-6-9____9.22+1.13+(-6.22)=4.13____2.5____12.0 2-5-6-6____5.87+1.83+(-4.27)=3.43____2.0_____9.5 5-6-6-9____9.17+1.52+(-7.39)=3.30____2.7____12.1 Offense______W6 %___W7 % 3-5-6-6________9.9___44.2 3-6-6-9_______11.4___46.7 2-5-6-6_______10.0___44.8 5-6-6-9_______14.5___50.9 3-5-6-6 is best for expected averages by 1.0pt over 3-6-6-9 and although it doesn't have the best Win %s it is lowest for Loss %s. As it's early in the game I'll put the main emphasis on the expected averages so I'll select 2-9 to discard. After the 4 cut I'll lead the 6D and play Offense: Lead_________Our Pegging Pts. 6__________________1.51 3__________________1.18 5__________________0.73 scottcrib says: It doesn't happen often, but it's interesting to me when once of Hal's top choices (2566) is not one that the commentators (or anyone else) chose. |
Ras2829 5125 votes Joined: November 2008 |
    Sunday 8:35 PM
With dealer at hole 30, it's aggressive offense. That means not giving dealer 2-3 or 2-5; and it comes down then to a hand that can score 16 points; so, it has with that nifty four spot on the deck. Agree with lead of 6D and take any pegs offered. As noted by scottcrib above HalscribCLXchoice of 2-5-6-6 is a unique choice. Why? Because it does not allow 2-3 or 2-5 to dealer crib -so combined value favors holding a mere two points, not reduced by big crib total of 2-3 or 2-5. It would have been my third choice as well. |