March 17, 2023

*** This hand was suggested by Ras2829
43*-43  ?
Total votes: 272
3536 votes

Joined: June 2013

Friday 3:16 AM
Double runs are not always the best option.
86 votes

Joined: November 2022

Friday 4:25 AM
The question is between tossing the 5-5 or the 2-9. The 5-5 is "technically" 7 points total. The 2-9 sticks with 8 points.

If I'm remembering correctly, this is a Big Hand Rule puzzle. To determine is a sacrifice toss is worth it we must ask two questions:

1) Does potential still exist for a big cut in the hand? Yes! A two, three, or four cut would give 12 points and a great pegging hand.

2) Does the toss fit within the sacrifice limit? Yes! A pair of fives is worth sacrificing four points, well within the two points we "lose" by breaking up the double run.

Bingo bango!
Inushtuk1 says: Right on ZulwarnGames. Except 2-3-4-9 improves on all cuts but a 7. So we actually sacrifice a possible *three* points here. But still well within the sacrifice limits. But I'm being way to picky.
919 votes

Joined: December 2017

Friday 4:27 AM
Part of me wanted to pick the bright and shiny 3455, certainly. It has huge cuts, and it could peg well on offense. But I think 55 to own crib will be better. 2349 probably pegs better than 3455, too, with an 11, a 3-card sixteen, bunched low cards and a working five trap. If I hadn’t seen so many ras puzzles, I would have been tripped up by this kind of hand for sure. 3455 is a great keep, and 55 to own crib is not magic. But it should come out on top today. 55 is worth nearly 9 points mean to own crib, while “also ran” discards like 29 are often around 4, so this is approximately net +5, and that bridges the gap, even though 2349 scores 7 or less on most cuts.

The position is totally offensive, with our opponent sitting inbetween the pone pars. That means he’s too far ahead for a back game, and too far back to be feared on the front. We need to try to push ahead and ride the “average scoring” 26 wave, which requires heavy offense from a marginal spot like 43*.

To an ace lead, would play a deuce hoping to catch him holding all low cards. Would pair a 2 3 or 4, to a five would entice Colvert's "sucker" 15-5 with the four, and would play the nine on any lead six or higher.
3715 votes

Joined: April 2011

Friday 4:40 AM
5-5 is worth the reduction in hand score up to four points if you still have shot of 12 or more points. I believe that’s RAS’s big hand rule. Here we only lose three points. Offense to the lead.
5331 votes

Joined: March 2008

Friday 4:44 AM
When in doubt 5-5
5954 votes

Joined: April 2008

Friday 4:59 AM
Twelve potentials, discard average and defensive eleven in the pegging cards. Let's do it! dec
3772 votes

Joined: October 2008

Friday 5:39 AM
Tie score as the Dealer, we are just shy of the Second Street Par Hole 44, and we have a Double Run, or we can Toss (5 5) into our Own Crib, perhaps the best Dealer Discard in all of Cribbage.

I really like the synergy between Keep (2 3 4 9) and Toss (5 5), so that is the route I shall travel. Those who find that they always MUST hold onto a Double Run will get stomped today, probably by over a Full Point!

After the Ten "T" Card Cut, we now have Seven Points in our Hand, with prospects for a very good Crib.

Wordle 636 4/6 (tight-lipped and mushy-mouthed)

Eolus619 says: JQT..I double dog date you to tell me you have used this word in the last 25 years
Eolus619 says: dare not date…geez
JQT says: Okay, Bruce, you caught me in a nostalgic and starry-eyed, quixotic mood today, as my former (and now deceased) spouse, who was unremittingly Irish to the Core, used to love St. Patrick's Day (her succession of maiden names: Kathleen Helen Molly Agnes McCoy McBreen, it goes on!) has placed me into a reminiscing state-of-mind today (apologies around for the length). As a writer, I've probably used today's Wordle Solution on a few occasions, in hyphenated form, when referring to politicians, etc. This word is sometimes of course used in cooking, although I've not 'dipped my oars into that wide oasis' too frequently these days, not since my part-time life-on-the-road in my old camper, "While in Pursuit of Women and Wild Trout" (another of my many yet-to-be-published book titles, so far without the book to go along with it); and yes, this word can be seen in the angling literature from time to time as well. As a term, it also shows up as an adjective for a few types of birds; and while I'm not a serious birder, I am a dedicated 'bird observer' (I'm just listening, in fact, to the recently-very-active Pileated Woodpecker Pair that has inevitably turned one of the trees closest to my apartment into veritable sawdust over the course of about a dozen years, and I'm left to wonder if they will continue to nest in it, as it has already become merely a stump, and one with a vast hole that is so large, I could literally crawl through it! Stay tuned-in during subsequent years, and hopefully I shall continue to update. REF: Having done many various things in life, a few of these already aforementioned, and having also written about them, I'm starting to believe, is probably a solid prerequisite attribute for doing well in Wordle. As to my actual usage of the particular word in question: I used to allow Google Desktop (which, since about 2011, is sadly no longer supported and pushed as a client-side utility) to run on my previous PC, and it was possible to instantly see if and when a word or term or phrase had even been used or saved. The utility was actually quite scary to observe at first, because it would extract those nouns, verbs, and adjectives from your brain and lay them out for you to see, plain and simple. No doubt that this algorithm still runs, ever-so-silently, on "their" side (the ubiquitous "cloud") of the interface, but I found it very interesting to look at my own use of linguistic terms. In fact, I still keep it running on old laptop with an accurate log of Google Desktop statistics on it, data collected from circa 2008 through about 2019. The utility can still be loaded and used, but it is no longer "pushed" as a client-side utility, and it now performs "up in the cloud" where, on one hand, it can probably better-aggregate the linguistic behavior of a single user (or IP address), rather than have it be spread across multiple devices, some of which may not have it enabled. But it makes the data far less transparent to the user, since you must now opt-in and load the utility. Still, as far as security and vulnerabilities, it remains a real honey-pot or treasure-trove of data, allowing one to "get a peek" into the brain of another, if the data can be swiped or stolen. I once wrote to a security-minded individual that my Google Desktop dataset is probably the second lowest signal-to-noise distillation of my brain; the lowest, and thus most condensed "window into my mind" being my MS Word Exclusion Dictionary, which is a list of what Microsoft would normally show as misspellings, but these can be collected in an Exception or Exclusionary File. For a writer who has used MS Word since perhaps 1984 or 1985, and "carried forward" this valuable list, it contains virtually every person's name and address (that isn't already a word) and acronym, and the ratio of "highly personal" to deadwood is extremely high. As someone who attained a "Q Clearance" at age twenty-one, straight out of college, I pride myself in matters of data security, and these topics have thus always interested me. REF: Incidentally, as we finally get down (my, this is getting to be quite lengthy!) to the heart of the matter of your question: I have not double-dog-dated in quite some time! Will a photo be forthcoming? And will snacks be provided? That reminds me, and so let's end on a musical theme, of the infamous first half of the first verse of one of those very memorable songs by John Prine: "Back before I was a movie star / Straight off of the farm / I had a picture of another man's wife / Tattooed on my arm . . ." John Prine "Crazy as a Loon" (2005)
Eolus619 says: JQT...Whew...that tattoo.. talk about an inconvenient reminder..the other great line from that Prine song is..You'll be waitin' on a phone call...At the wrong end of a broom
fentesk says: I wish today's word hadn't been in use a lot at our house in the past year. My wife had a "rope plant" from before I met her that was impressive (and far larger and healthier than the examples displayed at the Buffalo Arboretum) that picked up an infestation related to today's word from a plant received as a gift. She would spend more than an hour a day for months trying to save it, but in the end the battle, and a long standing point of pride, was lost.
1192 votes

Joined: February 2009

Friday 5:55 AM
An excellent dealer pegging hand with 12 point potential-combined with 5-5 to my OWN crib? Sign me up please
953 votes

Joined: June 2020

Friday 6:19 AM
Too add to glm’s comments..Ras’s double run hynposis also applies.
Eolus619 says: It’s weekend homework Friday and if so inclined follow this annotated game ..Incidentally, Roger Wilson is still around and playing at a high level. He was in a tournament last weekend in which I also played.
Eolus619 says: Ras tip on double run this link
2654 votes

Joined: November 2014

Friday 6:32 AM
If I'm wrong I don't want to know. If it's not an endgame situation (like 119-119) then 100% I'm tossing myself the 5s.
JQT says: As the Dealer at (119*-119), I suppose I might Keep (2 3 4 5), but as Pone at (119-119*), who knows!? Maybe we should STILL then Keep (2 3 4 5) and lead the Trey(?) If the Dealer PAIRS us, we've already lost, so no need to retain a 9 Card if we lead the Trey. And after the Trey Lead, we WIN after Thirty-Five Replies (AAAA, 222, 444, 55, 7777, 8888, TTT, JJJJ, QQQQ, KKKK)!
2330 votes

Joined: March 2009

Friday 6:52 AM
100% agreement with the commenters so far, not surprised. Great pegging, we hold no face-cards, average of 9 points in the crib.
545 votes

Joined: February 2021

Friday 7:01 AM
Interesting that everyone commenting (as of 10am Eastern US) chose 5-5 and it's only 2nd choice for all voters. IRL, an ace gets cut and pone throws 2-6.
Eolus619 says: Hello dph..glad you have confidence that the demographics of the commenters would know the snapchat IRL
dph says: 'IRL' pre-dates snapchat by a couple decades. I'm not sure I trust the demographics to chat about snaps or whatever the young'uns do on SnapChat. ;)
731 votes

Joined: April 2021

Friday 7:29 AM
Happy St Patrick's Day! Big Hand rule in effect for me today. Throw (5 5) is worth a 4-pt (in this case only 3 pt) starting sacrifice to hold our 5-pt hand (2-3-4-9), which can improve to a dozen. Happily will throw the (5-5) in our crib today, and hope for a combined monster! If I have a chance to score in CASE pone triples (i.e. with a 2, 4, or 9), I'll take the points, since I am only assured of 14 total points, but I expect to perform much better than this from minimum CPZ (hole 43).
1078 votes

Joined: July 2016

Friday 7:59 AM
No Double Run Hypnosis here. Keep the two card eleven, and three card Sweet Sixteen. We will need to play the 9 on a 10, or J lead however, if we wish to take advantage of both the two card eleven, and the Sixteen.
MiketheExpert says: I might be tempted to play the deuce on a lead of J or 9, even though I still have a scoring response in they make a run. I often get a free 31 without giving up any by making the count 12, plus, if pone makes the count 15 instead, I have a scoring response to this also. But if they lead the Q or K, I prefer making the count 19. It is my personal preference on how to peg here, but not sure if everyone would agree.
MiketheExpert says: *correction lead of 10 or J by pone
Inushtuk1 says: Oops! Just read horus93's post. I forgot about the three bunched low cards and the 5 card trap.
MiketheExpert says: The caveat would be on how badly I needed to score pegging points as dealer here. In situations where I absolutely felt I needed to score without regard to defense, the 9 would absolutely be the correct play. After the cut here, I'll have SOME regard for how many points I'm likely to give up, but I'm still overall in an offense frame of mind for sure.
Inushtuk1 says: Thanks Mike. I will think on what you said. In fact, that's why I brought it up. I wanted to see how others would handle the 10, or J lead, with Dealer holding 2-3-4-9.
MiketheExpert says: In even more desperate times and no regard for opponent's scoring, in fact the correct choice may be to hold on to double-run for no-holds-barred offense (at the cost of expected crib average, which is not ACTUAL points).. A 3-4-5-5 can potentially make a killing on pegs, but it is also much more dangerous as well :)
Inushtuk1 says: So I hope other great peggers will offer their opinions on whether to respond to a 10 or a J lead with the deuce, or the 9, on offense. Thanks in advance.
JQT says: I almost always will drop the 9 Card first if I am either on OFFENSE, or like today, in a Relative Position that is not too perilous. Even if Pone 'snags' an 8-9-T or a 9-T-J Run, the second volley of pegging can often get quite interesting. Remember, a Ten or Jack Lead does NOT automatically translate into Pone holding either an 8 Card or a 9 Card or a Queen to back it up for the RUN! Much more often, Pone will have led from a PAIR, and have no better play than to repeat the same card as the one led! Meanwhile, as Dealer, we always have the ADVANTAGE of going LAST. USE IT!
Inushtuk1 says: Thanks John.
492 votes

Joined: April 2021

Friday 8:46 AM
This seemed like a great chance to put 5-5 in the crib with little to give up in the hand.
1840 votes

Joined: May 2016

Friday 1:16 PM
Ras' legacy. The big hand rule. Does the computer agree?
3172 votes

Joined: October 2007

Friday 2:11 PM
Not one double run in view yet the double run is winning. I suspect collusion.
5228 votes

Joined: October 2007

Friday 3:29 PM
I think it's between 3-4-5-5 (2-9) and 2-3-4-9 (5-5):

3-4-5-5: 8pts + 3¾pts (Schell: 3.71) = 11¾pts

2-3-4-9: 5pts + 8¾pts (Schell: 8.79) = 13¾pts


3-4-5-5: Improves with AAAA, 222, 333, 444, 55, 6666, 7777, 8888 + 16xXs = 43 cuts = 43/46 = 93.5% up to 12/14/16/17/20pts with 222, 333, 444, 55, 6666, 7777 + 16xXs = 35 cuts.

2-3-4-9: Improves with AAAA, 222, 333, 444, 55, 6666, 8888, 999 + 16xXs = 42 cuts = 42/46 = 91.3% up to 8/9/12pts with AAAA, 222, 333, 444, 6666, 999 = 20 cuts.


We're 1pt short of 2nd street positional hole as is Pone but they're 17pts short of where they'd like to be. However each pont past 60pts that we can achieve puts us in a better position to Win so I'll play cautious offense.


With 3 low cards and a middle card plus a magic eleven I think 2-3-4-9 will peg better.


2-3-4-9 is better for starting value by 2pts but 3-4-5-5 has slightly more cuts for improvement and 35 cuts for 12-20pts compared with 20 cuts for 8-12pts with 2-3-4-9. Will it catch up the 2pts? I think it will so I'll throw the 2-9.
4947 votes

Joined: February 2008

Friday 4:01 PM
At 43*-43 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

Offense___Hand__Pegs_Crib_Total____W5 %____W6 %

Offense_______L5 %____L6 %

2-3-4-9 is higher for expected averages by 0.93pt. and is appreciably better for Win %s although its slightly worse for Loss %s. So I'll select 5-5 to discard.

After the 10 cut I'll play Defense to the lead.
4775 votes

Joined: November 2008

Friday 7:57 PM
Yea! Think this to be the first time 40% or more have chosen to discard 5-5. RAS has been submitting this puzzle or similar for 13 years.
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