December 3, 2024

*** This hand was suggested by Ras2829
19*-18  ?
38%
38%
32%
32%
11%
11%
11%
11%
4%
4%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Total votes: 259
MarktheShark

Joined: January 2024 (311 votes)

Tuesday 4:05 AM
We had a great hand as Pone for first deal! Can we maintain our advantage? As an aggressive pegger, I would prefer to pitch the Jacks, but not in this position.
MarktheShark says: With more than 60 votes in at the moment and 60% of the voters keeping the 6-7 together in their hand, I wonder what the consensus play is if Pone leads an X card? Do you take the 15-2 or do you play defensively with the 6 (as many would at Hand 1) because you stole the good position from your opponent?
MarktheShark says: ... keeping the 5-6 (not the 6-7) together.
Jazzselke says: My view is as first non-dealer we should still be aggressive after only one hand. Our continued advantage is not guaranteed and the cycle can still turn back to their favor.
MarktheShark says: Thanks Jazz (and anyone else who noticed my question). I take the 15-2 because I need 25/26 in two deals ... not the 18 Dealer needs at game start.
JQT

Joined: October 2008 (4327 votes)

Tuesday 4:08 AM
Toss (6 7) does not quite produce our strongest Hand; this would come after Toss (A 7). And yet Toss (J J) gives us the best Pegging Hand, and probably leads to the best balance between Hand and Crib. 🍎

Let's Toss (J J) today, and enjoy getting help from ANY Cut Card. After the 4s Card Cut, we now have Six Points in our Hand, with prospects for an average Crib. 🍍
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (5981 votes)

Tuesday 4:47 AM
We'll see if I'm right here. I like the 5-6 together.
Jazzselke

Joined: March 2009 (2745 votes)

Tuesday 5:35 AM
Have vacillated on this hand in the past; settled on this hold. Like the prospects in the crib; don't like A7 to keep 56JJ. Throwing the knaves would be my second choice.
HfxKen

Joined: February 2020 (1086 votes)

Tuesday 5:44 AM
Every cut helps and 2 Johnnies in my crib.
mfetchCT425

Joined: February 2009 (1510 votes)

Tuesday 6:14 AM
Pair of Js close but I like the middle card “touchers” in the crib just a bit more.
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4164 votes)

Tuesday 6:21 AM
6-7 works immediately with 2222,555,666,777,8888 and 9999, (21/46).
J-A eleven or J-5-A sixteen for pegging.
Assman

Joined: May 2024 (241 votes)

Tuesday 7:10 AM
Tough call. 5s and maybe Js are the exception, but I normally don’t like a pair in my crib.
dec

Joined: April 2008 (6629 votes)

Tuesday 7:41 AM
If I had a flush I might do a couple of different discards. Here keep the core of a dozen plus cut and possibilities in the crib. dec
Sgt Pegger

Joined: July 2017 (510 votes)

Tuesday 9:16 AM
I tend to throw the 6,7 to the crib as a defensive move! So, for me, the J's are better utilized in the crib. Besides, any cut helps this hold.
asevenson

Joined: August 2011 (3117 votes)

Tuesday 9:18 AM
With Gougie00 today.
wasa

Joined: November 2014 (3221 votes)

Tuesday 9:27 AM
I like the sure 6 points, plus middle cards to my crib. Not thrilled with breaking up the pair of Js, and I don't like pairs of non-fives to my crib.

My cut practicing has paid off! At least for my hand....
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5536 votes)

Tuesday 1:31 PM
At 19*-18 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_______________Our
Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib_Total____W8 %____W9 %
A-5-6-7____6.72+4.02+5.10=15.84____46.4____34.3
A-5-J-J____8.30+2.54+4.80=15.64____49.5____39.3
5-6-7-JD___8.11+4.00+3.49=15.60____45.3____33.5
5-6-7-JC___8.07+4.00+3.50=15.57____45.1____33.3

Offense_______L8 %____L9 %
A-5-6-7________48.7____45.0
A-5-J-J________45.4____40.7
5-6-7-JD_______48.5____45.8
5-6-7-JC_______48.5____45.9

A-5-6-7 is best for expected averages by 0.20pt. However, A-5-J-J is considerably best for Win %s and lowest for Loss %s so I'll select 6-7 to discard.

After the 4 cut I'll play Defense to the lead.
Inushtuk1

Joined: July 2016 (1689 votes)

Tuesday 2:22 PM
As I recall, on Offense or Optimal, the correct play is the A-5-6-7(J-J) for expected averages. On Defense A-5-J-J(6-7) is best for expected averages. I did not expect HalsCrib to go with the considerably better Win%'s, and Loss %'s at this early score. I chose Offense as we are +1, and Pone is -16.
Inushtuk1 says: Offense to the lead after the cut, as it appears we may be short of 33-34 otherwise.
RubyTuesday

Joined: January 2019 (1103 votes)

Tuesday 2:31 PM
6 7 to my crib leaves me with points in hand and gives me a good chance of points in my crib.
Djgoat

Joined: December 2023 (121 votes)

Tuesday 5:29 PM
It's early so I will reach for the double and put the pair of Js in my crib.