December 7, 2024

*** This hand was suggested by Ras2829
70*-68  ?
50%
50%
38%
38%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Total votes: 251
Rosemarie44

Joined: March 2016 (2070 votes)

Saturday 3:40 AM
If possible, I chose cards that add points in my hand and also cards that add points in my crib. I start with 6 points before seeing the starter card.
JQT

Joined: October 2008 (4327 votes)

Saturday 4:03 AM
The new player sees Aces and thinks: Pegging! But the seasoned player prefers pegging with the three-card Magic Eleven: 3-4-4. Aces into the Crib! 🧰 ☕ 🍩
Eolus619 says: AND JQT…DCH’s own Rob M has written in CW about the added value of a three card “11” with a pair in it❗️❗️
mrob2199

Joined: February 2009 (1554 votes)

Saturday 4:15 AM
From this position I don’t want to put all my eggs in the picture card cut basket of AA44- prefer this much better pegging hand with plenty of cuts that will get us to at least 12-congrats to Scott on winning the Virginia Beach consy yesterday-they have a 22 gamer today so he has a good shot at another score
scottcrib says: Thanks!
dec says: well done Scott dec
Eolus619 says: Morning Rob…n/der leads a trey…your reply is ? thx
mrob2199 says: I’m being aggressive in my pegging from this position Bruce-trying to get to as close to 4th street as I can
Eolus619 says: Thx
dec

Joined: April 2008 (6629 votes)

Saturday 4:34 AM
Agree the face card gut cut looks obvious here. But there are positives on this keep defensive elevens and starting with six points. Still a chance at a doz here. dec
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (5981 votes)

Saturday 4:42 AM
Was tempted to hold AA44 and play for a face. I hedged and played it safer. I like the 344 together. Peg a little.
Jazzselke

Joined: March 2009 (2745 votes)

Saturday 5:14 AM
Open-ended double-run, pegging and a combined 6 points. With the herd. Congrats Scott E!
MarktheShark

Joined: January 2024 (311 votes)

Saturday 6:23 AM
3-7 is tempting, but I will keep this pegger. On an X lead and X continuation, do you play for the 4-card 31 (with 4, 7) or the 5-card 31 (with 3, pair of 4s)?
wasa

Joined: November 2014 (3221 votes)

Saturday 7:16 AM
Not a fan of pairs to my crib (unless 5-5). Not seeing any T or X kept the A-A-4-4 combo. Be curious to see what HAL suggests is best.
Assman

Joined: May 2024 (241 votes)

Saturday 8:23 AM
Ditto.
Sgt Pegger

Joined: July 2017 (510 votes)

Saturday 8:28 AM
Great Scott! Nice work! I'm with all the other fine folk above. 3,4,4 intact was just too tempting for me.
scottcrib says: Thanks!
Inushtuk1

Joined: July 2016 (1689 votes)

Saturday 8:36 AM
Hand average is better by close 1.4 points. I saw the Magic eleven. but it's more difficult to pair your own 4 than your own Ace. It will be close though. Offense to the lead.
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4164 votes)

Saturday 11:38 AM
Four, "fives", hoping for an X cut.
RubyTuesday

Joined: January 2019 (1103 votes)

Saturday 12:03 PM
I hoped for a 10/court card cut too.
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5536 votes)

Saturday 2:05 PM
At 70*-68 playing an Offense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and win/Loss %s are:

_______________Our
Offense___Hand_Pegs_Crib_Total____W4 %____W5 %
3-4-4-7____6.74+3.43+4.79=14.96____42.7____36.3
A-A-4-4____8.13+3.09+3.62=14.84____42.7____36.5
AS-4-4-7___6.83+3.15+4.02=14.00____38.2____31.3

Offense_______L4 %____L5 %
3-4-4-7________42.3____47.4
A-A-4-4________42.2____47.2
AS-4-4-7_______44.3____52.0

3-4-4-7 is best for expected averages by 0.12pt. and although A-A-4-4 is fractionally better for Win %s and Loss %s I'll still select the pair of As to discard.

After the 7 cut I'll play Defense to the lead.
Andy (muesli64)

Joined: August 2009 (2251 votes)

Saturday 5:00 PM
With the flow