Saturday 3:26 AM

In a pure Defensive Stance, the "Safety in Numbers" of retaining the PAIRS Royal should be worthwhile and sufficient, but with the Dealer needing just Six Holes, and with us as Pone only needing half as much or Three Holes, I believe that makes this Endgame Battle a Special Case. 👜

And in such a case, with a nearly 9% risk of a Jack Cut and 'Two for Heels' for the Dealer, it's probably a better plan to hold a variety and Keep (A 4 T K), because in this scenario, as long as we can "get as much as we give" during any pegging, then we should have nothing to fear.

Let's Toss (K K) today, and retain an assortment for this Special Case Endgame Scenario.

After the harmless Deuce Cut, let's lead our Ace, since in doing so we rid ourselves of the Lone Small Card liability. Look to unload the Ten "T" Card next, when it CANNOT be used against us in an 8-9-T, 9-T-J, or T-J-Q Run. Then, we are left with the nearly harmless 4-K duo.

Be aware that if the Dealer does get to lead in a Two-on-One scenario during a final volley of pegging, that a competent Dealer holding a 5-6 duo can peg Six Points (unanswered) against a solitary 4 Card, so it's wise to get rid of this card early as well! 😸

Let's look at a few play-outs:

(A 4 T K) (K K) vs (A 5 8 J) (J Q) Cut = 7c
Pegging: A (1) A (2=2) K (12) J (22) 4 (26) 5 (31=2), T (10) 8 (18-1), (121-120*).

(A 4 T K) (K K) vs (2 3 5 7) (8 Q) Cut = 7h
Pegging: A (1) 7 (8) T (18) 5 (23) 4 (27) 3 (30=4), K (10) 2 (12=1), (121-120*).

(A 4 T K) (K K) vs (2 5 6 8) (6 9) Cut = 6c
Pegging: A (1) 6 (7) T (17) 8 (25) 4 (29) 2 (31=2), K (10) 5 (15=3), (121-120*).

Saturday 4:21 AM

Very difficult for dealer to peg six holes anywhere on the board without assistance from n/d. Dealer average is 3.5 pegs. Will get rid of the most dangerous card among these four on the lead. Goodbye Ace! And dump the four as second card played if looks reasonably safe to do so. Avoid pegs thereafter. Let's win with first count. Only way dealer can win is to peg. JQT says it all right above in splendid fashion.

Saturday 4:25 AM

I kept kings intending to lead one.

Saturday 4:58 AM

Why would I keep six points here? Lead the Ace here and dodge and weave. dec

Saturday 5:27 AM

I kept 10-KKK. I lost because the opponent held 4567. I figured the A4 was a liability, but regardless of how smart you think you are, the dysfunctional Cribbage Fairy can zap you.

About an inch of annoyance snow here in Northern Massachusetts. Makes everything look cleaner.

Saturday 5:51 AM

We only need to keep 3 points in our hand. Previous comments are helpful for holding and pegging analysis. Thank you to those who have put out the time to do so.

Saturday 6:04 AM

I don’t like keeping the 10 as there’s three still out there unaccounted for. Will keep the pair of Ks which should be very safe from being paired with only one left in the deck. Will lead the ace to get rid of it early.

Saturday 6:24 AM

Keep the 4 points required to win and then play defensively. Lead the 4.

Saturday 7:00 AM

Agree with Mr. F. Never a bad thing to do!

Saturday 7:11 AM

I went this way figuring I', less likely to be paired.

Saturday 7:25 AM

Keeping enough to win and 4 separate cards (with a high and low combo) to provide more options in play.

Saturday 7:35 AM

The game is not in the bag, as no matter what we hold, it is POSSIBLE for dealer to peg 6 unanswered points, though very difficult - what is the best way to countervene this? I think by holding the most variety of cards since we are only 3 points away from pegging out. The biggest problem with holding all 10's (10-K-K-K) is there is no ability to switch tactics with many "common" dealer holdings which will lose us the game (notably 5-5-6, or 4-5-6-7.). The safety of having the K's becomes nullified since we have no choice but to lead a 10-value card and keep playing them. The "A" also represents somewhat of a liability, as we'd like to keep on raising the count and not get "cute" here. So keeping the A with 3 faces (A-K-K-K) may not be as good as it appears, as we could be stuck with this card until the end. We would like to lead it, but once again, we have no choice among what to play for the rest of the sequence. Thus, (4-K-K-K) does not seem like a bad option. Even if dealer pairs our opening lead of a 4, at least by playing the K raises the count above 15, and he is unlikely to have a scoring response while holding 3 ourselves. There are still several playouts that could cause us to lose, especially if a J is cut. So, since we are also only 3 holes away from pegging out, I go back to the "variety" hold of (A-4-10-K), while leading the Ace, we still maintain some pegging flexibility, and we get rid of our most dangerous card.

Saturday 7:50 AM

I believe my fading memory is correct..Ras says most likely card help by dealer is a K…Schell says it’s a 10…so i prefer having two Ks to lessen the chance of a K being paired. As Ras says..have a pegging plan..so I will anticipate my lead Ace being paired.

Saturday 7:57 AM

If lost the game with this hold, I’d quit playing cribbage 🤣

Saturday 8:08 AM

Lead the 4.

Haven't seen a Wordle solve on here recently. Here's mine from today.

Wordle 1,302 5/6

⬛⬛🟨⬛⬛
⬛🟩🟩⬛⬛
⬛🟩🟩🟩⬛
⬛🟩🟩🟩⬛
🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

WordleBot
Skill 63/99
Luck 60/99

Saturday 9:13 AM

As per mfetch. Keep a mix but no need to keep the 10

Saturday 11:40 AM

I felt safer not keeping a 10, so threw 10 K.

Saturday 12:28 PM

Forgot to look at the position - would have kept A-4-10-K to dodge pegging. Would have led the K