Wednesday 4:52 AM

Kept the 445 together. Tossed wide as I could.

Wednesday 4:52 AM

We're ahead. Keeping the straight shot while hopefully balking the crib a little.

Wednesday 5:08 AM

Is there any other way to go?

Wednesday 5:37 AM

seems logical to me would have discarded this quickly. Four lead. dec

Wednesday 5:57 AM

Not many options so toss the bookends and hope for a cut.

Wednesday 6:15 AM

2-7 isn't the worst discard here if you are wary of getting caught in the pegging, but 2-9 is preferrable for many reasons

Wednesday 6:32 AM

I'm keeping both 5s, I don't see a good reason to send one to dealer. Then I will keep the 4-5-5 together, so two of the 2, 7, and 9 are gone.

There is a four-card 16 with 2-4-5-5, but then I'm tossing 7-9 which probably has the highest chance of letting dealer back in the game if it catches a 7-8 dealer discard, so I'll go wide with the 2-9 and keep the 7. I am tempted to keep some more room in the hand for pegging with the 2-7, but see the 2-9 as safer.

Wednesday 6:39 AM

I want to keep the 4-5-5 together. Then pondered what doesn't fit. The 2 is gone. Then the 9.

Wednesday 6:40 AM

Go wide and minimize risk. Every cut helps (some more than others). Lead the 4 I suppose.

Wednesday 6:41 AM

2-7, 2-9, 4-9, 7-9? I will be the maverick again and keep the best pegger.

Wednesday 6:55 AM

N/der is 16 points ahead in relative score and already six points into CPZ #3..so Rob’s increasingly famous cribbage theorem applies..” Do not over think this “

Wednesday 7:52 AM

To me this is more of a no brainer. Even if I don't get a cut, and peg zero; I'm still dealing well past the 3rd Street CPZ, and Dealaer would need to score 25 here to be within 10 of the 4th Street CPZ. Lead the 4 and try to dump a 5 as second card if it looks reasonably safe.

Wednesday 8:18 AM

I feel like a barber today.....a little off the top and a little off the bottom please.

Wednesday 8:19 AM

Like the 5s together. Keeps couble possible runs. 2-9 not much help here so bye bye

Wednesday 8:36 AM

Only the cut of a 7 is unhelpful, and there's only three of them left in circulation. Lead the 2.

Wednesday 8:39 AM

echo the greater majority...

Wednesday 1:26 PM

Ditto most of you.

Wednesday 2:14 PM

Wednesday 2:14 PM

At 76-60* playing a Defense strategy the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

_______________Dlr's
Defense___Hand_Pegs____Crib____Total_____W3 %___W4 %
2-4-5-5____6.57+(-2.78)+(-4.88)=(-1.09)___10.5___63.0
2-5-5-7____6.00+(-3.26)+(-4.29)=(-1.55)____7.7___61.1
4-5-5-7____6.30+(-3.67)+(-4.42)=(-1.79)___21.5___67.8
4-5-5-9____6.13+(-3.33)+(-4.60)=(-1.80)____8.9___61.3

Defense________L3 %___L4 %
2-4-5-5_________2.1____13.1
2-5-5-7_________1.2____11.5
4-5-5-7_________1.3____10.4
4-5-5-9_________1.3____11.9

2-4-5-5 is best for expected averages but 4-5-5-7 is considerably best for Win %s and lowest for Loss %s. As we're at a critical board position I'll decide based on Win/Loss %s and select 2-9 to discard.

After the K cut I'll lead the 4 and play Defense:

Lead_________Dealer's Pegging Points
4____________________(-2.51)
5____________________(-3.04)
7____________________(-3.60)

Wednesday 4:21 PM

no other choice.