April 12, 2025

*** This hand was suggested by JQT
0*-0  ?
41%
41%
31%
31%
16%
16%
10%
10%
0%
0%
Total votes: 252
JQTNote: This was a Ras2829 puzzle initially posted as (0-0*) and I switched position of Pone and Dealer.
mrob2199

Joined: February 2009 (1644 votes)

Saturday 3:13 AM
This gives us the best chance of a cut hitting us somewhere
Rosemarie44

Joined: March 2016 (2174 votes)

Saturday 3:17 AM
Consider the crib as an extension of the hand.
Gougie00

Joined: March 2008 (6099 votes)

Saturday 3:30 AM
Trying it this way. Yuck.
dec

Joined: April 2008 (6785 votes)

Saturday 3:35 AM
Percentage of times dealer is dealt two points in hand ? Not enough to hurt yet unless non dealer surpasses par. Into the crib the two goes. dec
dec says: meant four do a split. dec
tevdodd

Joined: May 2021 (147 votes)

Saturday 3:43 AM
Good idea to flip the pone/dealer from how it's originally posted, but I think this is similarly logical.
JQT

Joined: October 2008 (4444 votes)

Saturday 4:20 AM
I believe this puzzle is about trying to avoid "poisoning" our Crib with Toss (6 K), and it's also about avoiding a PAIR to our Own Crib if and when a better alternative exists. ๐Ÿ

Let's Toss (T J) today. After the Trey of Hearts Cut, we now have Six Points in our Hand, with prospects for an average, but possibly disappointing Crib. ๐ŸŽˆ

RAS has a few more puzzles in the queue until April 29, 2025, but please realize that these were all posted in February and March.

A few of his puzzles that were set to appear in March and April had Pone and Dealer swapped, so I fixed these as best as I could. I sent RAS an email describing these changes on April 2, 2025, but never heard back from him, which is unusual.

I keep hoping that I'll see his name appear in a posting or a reply again. Sadly, I believe that the last actual post by RAS was on March 16, 2025. During the sixteen years and four months since he joined "Hand of the Day" back in November 2008, RAS has voted on this site a stunning 5496 times! โœจ

The very next day, on March 17, 2025, there is a reply by RAS that says, "Ras2829 says: AMEN!!!! This says it all." And then nothing else has been posted or replied by him since that date. REF: https://dailycribbagehand.org/show.php?date=2025/03/17 ๐Ÿฅ€
Annabella says: Thank you for sharing. I thought the same about tossing the ๐Ÿ, knew it was a RAS thinker . I miss seeing RAS and look for a post from him everyday. He has helped me a lot. He is missed.
james500

Joined: June 2013 (4276 votes)

Saturday 5:22 AM
Having to discard K6 spoils the flush option for me. Especially since there's another K and 6 in the hand.

Oftentimes, two consecutive ranked cards will perform well in the crib: 2-3, 3-4, 4-5, 5-6, 6-7, 7-8, Q-J are all in the top 29 discards. TJ is #34.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
12th Apr 2025
๐Ÿ†Score: 121 to 108
๐ŸŒ‹SP: 1595
๐Ÿ“…Streak: 14
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/455/3333658/1
Djgoat

Joined: December 2023 (219 votes)

Saturday 6:53 AM
I considered the pairs but that meant tossing connectors so opted to get my four points via the flush
Djgoat says: Seems few others liked this choice
Djgoat says: It was too early and I looked at it wrong, thinking it was their crib. Looking at it now I would have tossed the 6s.
MarktheShark

Joined: January 2024 (428 votes)

Saturday 7:25 AM
I will keep 4 points, hope to grow a few in my crib and play defense as First Dealer. I am in the tiny T-J camp. Not a fan of the other three reasonable options.
Andy (muesli64)

Joined: August 2009 (2320 votes)

Saturday 7:41 AM
Throw 6-6. keep double run option open.
Assman

Joined: May 2024 (365 votes)

Saturday 8:22 AM
I like it this way to start the game.
RubyTuesday

Joined: January 2019 (1189 votes)

Saturday 12:04 PM
6 6 should score higher in my crib than K K. I didnโ€™t want to keep the flush and throw K 6.
JQT says: Today we examine whether to place a PAIR or "Touching Cards" into our own Crib. First, let's look at the cards that make (6 6) grow: (4 5), (5 7), (3 6), (6 9), (9 9), etc. Now let's look at the cards that make (T J) grow: (8 9), (9 T), (9 Q), (T Q), (Q K), etc. Which combinations is Pone more likely to give to us, the Dealer? When building our Crib, we have to look beyond VALUE and evaluate GROWTH. A PAIR of 6 Cards is ALREADY worth a lot, whether these end up in our Hand or our Crib, as long as we don't break them apart. The (T J) meanwhile begins with NOTHING, so any added help is ALL ADDED GROWTH. A large portion of the Crib Value when we discard a PAIR comes from the PAIR itself, which we already had to begin with in our Hand! As the Dealer, we get to tally BOTH the Hand and the Crib, so we seek the most GROWTH. ๐Ÿฆ ๐ŸŒฒ
HalscribCLX

Joined: February 2008 (5638 votes)

Saturday 1:41 PM
At 0*-0 playing a Defense strategy for the pegging the dynamic expected averages and Win/Loss %s are:

________________Pone's
Defense____Hand_Pegs____Crib_Total___W9 %____W10 %
6-6-K-K_____5.22+(-2.00)+4.58=7.80____29.0____43.6
10-J-K-K____4.28+(-2.63)+6.00=7.65____31.6____45.1
6S-10-J-KS__6.13+(-2.26)+2.94=6.81____28.2____42.1

Defense_______L9 %____L10 %
6-6-K-K________24.6____28.9
10-J-K-K_______25.6____27.9
6S-10-J-KS_____26.1____30.7

6-6-K-K is best for expected averages by 0.15pt. However 10-J-K-K is slightly best for Win %s and these two are about even for Loss %s. As it's the beginning of the game and I'm recommending Defense I'll select the 10-J to discard.

After the 3 cut I'll play Defense to the lead.
Score31 says: Hello, being new to this great discussion group, I'm wondering if someone can explain the column headers such as W9% and L10%. Thank you
fentesk says: Hello! There will be various outputs you'll see from the computer program depending on where we are on the board. W9/W10 and L9/L10 are estimates of percentage of the time we'll Win on the ninth deal of the game (W9), Win on the tenth deal of the game (W10), or lose on those deals (L9/L10). The closer to the end of the game we are we'd generally expect the values to be more accurate (if we're close to the end we'll see W1/W2). For some end games we'll also get things like "dealer peg out" to give an idea of how likely it is we get to count pone's/dealer's hands.
Score31 says: Thank you!
JQT says: Also, note that the two columns displayed are representative of most likely conclusion, yet rarely add up to 100% because the game could easily be shorter or longer. Showing just two columns was done due to a limitation of space.
fentesk

Joined: January 2021 (1557 votes)

Saturday 7:03 PM
I'm initially planning to play defense and would prefer to avoid all X cards given that's the hand people most often talk of planning their pegging around, so I'll avoid pitching the 6-6 if I can find a decent alternative.

The flush is only worth 4 and tosses crib poison in the K-6 (and we know there are only two of each left out there to potentially help the crib making it worse than normal).

I can still keep 4 with the 6-6-K-K and put a decent (but not stellar) connected 10-J in the crib. This also gives what looks like a decent defensive pegger with two pairs (though I will grant our prospects of getting the average 16 look bleak today and I understand there are players that may look to peg a bit as first dealer when faced with such poor prospects).