Friday 3:11 AM

Fold.

Cribbage Pro Scrimmage
16th May 2025
🏆Score: 121 to 113
🌋SP: 1640
📅Streak: 17
https://www.cribbagepro.net/scrimmage/489/3333658/1

Wordle 1,427 5/6

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Friday 3:28 AM

Trying it this way.

Friday 3:29 AM

I'm running it to the ground. Going for an eight point hand with crib implications doesn't fancy me.dec

Friday 3:34 AM

Hand adds up to a "magic eleven".

Friday 3:35 AM

I'll audible laugh when dealt this hand because it's a perfect microcosm of this game where we're already down 10 as pone. Honestly, I've mentally conceded this game when this hand presents itself.

Friday 4:46 AM

Give up two to keep two didn’t make a lot of sense when scrambling

Friday 5:46 AM

Difficult to not throw something dangerous. Would rather throw aces than deuces.

Friday 5:46 AM

Mr, Dylan is singing” it’s not dark yet, but it’s gettin there” …my choices were sending the As or A-2..wanted to keep an A-4-5..so this keep gets cut help from 13/13 ranks ..recall when tossing pairs across the board ..only Qs & Ks average less than 6 points in the crib..but that might be an ok choice depending on your six dealt cards and position

http://www.cribbageforum.com/SchellDiscard.htm

Friday 6:12 AM

We are in big trouble at this score. I’m going all out for the 16 hand. Any face (and remaining two aces and 2s) gives us 8. Maybe we steal a few pegs if dealer gets careless.

Friday 6:12 AM

After two days of Pone Hands with "Don't Care" Cribs, today we DO CARE about the Crib Value! Let's see how this alters the maps: 🌎

(45-55*) (As Ac 2s 2d 4h 5h) Cut = Qc, by ccjohnson, May 16, 2025.

Dump the A-A Idea: Keep (2 2 4 5) and Toss (A A)

Expected Hand Average is 260 DIV 46 = 5.652
(minus) Expected Crib Value (Schell) is 6.020
Total is -0.368

04x10=040 - 3333 (Maximum Hand, 4 cuts = 10 Points)
04x09=036 - 6666 (7 cuts >= 9 Points)
05x08=040 - 22, 444 (7 cuts >= 8 Points)
08x06=048 - 8888, 9999 (13 cuts >= 6 Points)
23x04=092 - 555, 7777, 16-Xs (32 cuts >= 4 Points)
02x02=004 - AA (Minimum Hand, 2 Cuts = 2 Points)
46 ___ 260

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Dump the 4-5 Idea: Keep (A A 2 2) and Toss (4 5)

Expected Hand Average is 128 DIV 46 = 6.957
(minus) Expected Crib Value (Schell) is 7.260
Total is -0.303

04x16=064 - 3333 (Maximum Hand, 4 cuts = 16 Points)
20x08=160 - AA, 22, 16-Xs (24 cuts >= 8 Points)
04x06=024 - 9999 (28 cuts >= 6 Points)
18x04=072 - 444, 555, 6666, 7777, 8888 (Minimum Hand, 18 Cuts = 4 Points)
46 ___ 320

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Dump the A-4 Idea: Keep (A 2 2 5) and Toss (A 4)

Expected Hand Average is 252 DIV 46 = 5.478
(minus) Expected Crib Value (Schell) is 5.720
Total is -0.242

04x08=032 - 3333 (Maximum Hand, 4 cuts = 8 Points)
29x06=174 - 22, 555, 7777, 8888, 16-Xs (33 cuts >= 6 Points)
10x04=040 - AA, 6666, 9999 (43 cuts >= 4 Points)
03x02=006 - 444 (Minimum Hand, 3 Cuts = 2 Points)
46 ___ 252

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Dump the 2-2 Idea: Keep (A A 4 5) and Toss (2 2)

Expected Hand Average is 290 DIV 46 = 6.304
(minus) Expected Crib Value (Schell) is 6.380
Total is -0.076

23x08=184 - 555, 9999, 16-Xs (Maximum Hand, 23 cuts = 8 Points)
04x07=028 - 6666 (27 cuts >= 7 Points)
05x06=030 - AA, 444 (32 cuts >= 6 Points)
04x05=020 - 3333 (36 cuts >= 5 Points)
04x04=016 - 8888 (40 cuts >= 4 Points)
06x02=012 - 22, 7777 (Minimum Hand, 6 Cuts = 2 Points)
46 ___ 290

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Wow, the best four ideas all come up with a NET NEGATIVE TOTAL! We're going to have to avoid Toss (4 5), and then, even if we can out-peg the Dealer, we may incur a NET LOSS in what we can control today. The "Least Bad" idea seems to be (A A 4 5), because even though we're giving a PAIR away in the Enemy Crib, we do have Twenty-Three Cut Cards (or HALF the deck!) that yield Eight Points. 🎱

Toss (4 5) is simply out of the question, but Toss (A 4) is an interesting possibility. Toss (A 2) has the lowest Crib Value, but it destroys BOTH of our PAIRS, and it could explode in the Enemy Crib.🍐

Let's Toss (2 2) today, because it's probably our "Least Bad" option. After the Queen Cut, we have Eight Points. Let's lead the 4 Card and try to imagine a Two-Point Crib. 🎏

Wordle 1,427 5/6 (Beethoven's Drinking Companion) 🥃

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Friday 6:23 AM

Taking a shot a 16 with a better chance of cut yielding 8. Trying to chip away deficit.

Friday 6:31 AM

Triple Nickels. The 4 is the proper lead then dump the 5 on an X-Card response. Try for the (31-4).

Friday 6:47 AM

This is where I am so bad about choosing to go with offense or defense. Do I worry about moving myself, or stopping them? Everything I have to toss has the possiblility of a dozen crib, so I a going for my own dozen with all of the available face cards. Thanks for doing the same, Mike LOL

Friday 7:43 AM

Just like pulling off a bandaide.....rip it baby! Maybe we get a 3 cut and the sting doesn't hurt as bad.

Friday 8:51 AM

We are in deep trouble, but it is too early for the desperation 4-5 pitch. Pitch the 2-2 and hope for the reasonable cut to inch our way back into contention.

Friday 1:21 PM

Behind and non-dealer. That should be the title to my upcoming autobiography!! Life’s too short to be passive and this board position calls for action. Thanks to the Q I now have 8 in my hand and hopefully I can peg some points. Lead a 2.

Friday 2:36 PM

Good puzzle. L ots of options. Based just on gut feeling I will throw 2-2.

Friday 2:43 PM

Since there are no good options I think donating a pair of deuces might be better than the 4-5 while still giving us a chance for points.